TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13031415
Played Aug 28Finished
Oleh Efimov
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 7Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 7
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
10121111210115511
Stanislav Kuzko
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 7Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 7
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:25 and never touched — 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timeOleh Efimov to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingOleh Efimov above · Stanislav Kuzko below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 1-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 5-11
Point 88 set 5, 5-11 — our read held Oleh Efimov at 57.7%
88 points played in total.
H2H Oleh Efimov 3–1 Stanislav Kuzko Stanislav Kuzko has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:25What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Efimov
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-1 in 4
Efimov
Wrong
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Efimov 838 vs Kuzko 789
Efimov
Wrong
both rated, 49 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Efimov 0% vs Kuzko 0%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Efimov 10% vs Kuzko 10%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Efimov -5 · Kuzko -5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Efimov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kuzko form (0%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsEfimov 1.61 / Kuzko 2.20
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Efimov)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13031415
Efimov1.61
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 7
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Kuzko2.20
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 7
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog22% won 21 of 97
Down 0–1, comes back12% 8 of 66
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 46
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeEfimov3wins
AwayKuzko1wins
1 of 4 to a deciderEfimov leads 3–1, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Efimov2Kuzko2n = 4split evenly
S2Efimov2Kuzko2n = 4split evenly
S3Efimov2Kuzko2n = 4split evenly
S4Efimov2Kuzko1n = 3Efimov took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home250%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away125%
These 4 meetings
MetricEfimovKuzkoE − KBasisWins31+2in 4 meetingsFirst set220of 4Avg pointsper match36.236.20.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricEfimovKuzkoBasisWin rate · lifetime8 / 39 vs 40 / 17820.5%22.5%8 / 39 vs 40 / 178Avg sets wonper match1.31.3per matchAvg pointsper match32.333.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
EfimovEfimov 1.61/Kuzko 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57.7%
Efimov · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kuzko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WApr 23 · 11:10O. Efimov—116113123S. Kuzko—911711102
WApr 16 · 12:05O. Efimov—31111113S. Kuzko—118821
LApr 3 · 07:05O. Efimov—710100S. Kuzko—1112123
WMar 6 · 11:00O. Efimov—11116113S. Kuzko—881161
O. Efimov10
LAug 28 · 18:00O. Efimov3.25311361S. Osipov1.3311911113WAug 28 · 16:30O. Efimov1.611111113M. Mykhailenko2.208860LAug 28 · 15:00O. Efimov2.6312271182V. Mykhalchenko1.441011119113LAug 28 · 12:00O. Efimov3.007970D. Kunchurov1.361111113LJun 2 · 11:30O. Efimov3.258230O. Ovsiienko1.331111113LJun 2 · 09:30S. Semenets1.36911119113O. Efimov3.0011341182LJun 2 · 07:30O. Miklukha1.2561112113O. Efimov3.751181071LJun 2 · 06:30O. Efimov3.25126641D. Kunchurov1.33101111113LJun 2 · 05:30O. Ponomarenko1.1712611113O. Efimov4.501011861LApr 23 · 16:40O. Miklukha1.1711119113O. Efimov4.50691191
S. Kuzko10
LSep 6 · 11:35V. Mykhalchenko1.061011117123S. Kuzko8.00128911102WSep 6 · 10:35M. Tkalich1.4065111182S. Kuzko2.75111157113WSep 6 · 09:05M. Zaiats1.441191281S. Kuzko2.6391114113LSep 6 · 07:05K. Tsoi1.281211113S. Kuzko3.5010090LSep 6 · 05:05D. Kunchurov1.28111359113S. Kuzko3.50311111162WAug 29 · 11:30S. Kuzko3.251111113M. Tkalich1.338940LAug 29 · 09:30V. Mykhalchenko1.0691111113S. Kuzko8.00113731LAug 29 · 07:30D. Kunchurov1.25119812113S. Kuzko3.75811111032LAug 29 · 06:30S. Kuzko2.6312116692K. Vernudin1.441051111113LAug 29 · 05:30M. Mykhailenko2.20511511113S. Kuzko1.6111611592
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.