TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #11975535
Played Jun 2Finished
Oleh Ponomarenko
Home
1.17
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1210611118116––
Oleh Efimov
Away
4.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingOleh Ponomarenko above · Oleh Efimov below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 75 set 4, 11-6
75 points played in total.
H2H Oleh Ponomarenko 5–0 Oleh Efimov Oleh Efimov has won 0 of their 5 meetings.
Signal confidence: 82% — Strong (leans Ponomarenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Efimov form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (22%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPonomarenko 1.17 / Efimov 4.50
Signal prob.82% / 18%
Edge (Ponomarenko)+3.0pp
Setka Cup · #11975535
Ponomarenko1.17
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite62% won 86 of 138
Up 2–0, closes it98% 41 of 42
Up 1–0, closes it78% 53 of 68
Efimov4.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog24% won 6 of 25
Down 0–1, comes back17% 3 of 18
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 13
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomePonomarenko5wins
AwayEfimov0wins
Ponomarenko leads 5–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePonomarenko100%4 of 4
AwayEfimovn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ponomarenko4Efimov1n = 5Ponomarenko took 4 of 5
S2Ponomarenko4Efimov1n = 5Ponomarenko took 4 of 5
S3Ponomarenko4Efimov1n = 5Ponomarenko took 4 of 5
S4Ponomarenko3Efimov0n = 3Ponomarenko took 3 of 3
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home240%
3–1Four sets, home360%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricPonomarenkoEfimovP − EBasisWins50+5in 5 meetingsFirst set41+3of 5Avg pointsper match37.626.0+11.6per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPonomarenkoEfimovBasisWin rate · lifetime489 / 937 vs 8 / 3352.2%24.2%489 / 937 vs 8 / 33Avg sets wonper match2.01.4per matchAvg pointsper match36.133.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PonomarenkoPonomarenko 1.17/Efimov 4.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
82.4%
Ponomarenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Ponomarenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WApr 23 · 13:10O. Ponomarenko—3O. Efimov—0
WApr 16 · 07:05O. Ponomarenko—3O. Efimov—1
WApr 3 · 09:05O. Ponomarenko—3O. Efimov—0
WFeb 6 · 09:30O. Ponomarenko—3O. Efimov—1
WJan 30 · 11:00O. Ponomarenko—3O. Efimov—1
O. Ponomarenko10
LAug 30 · 11:05V. Mukhin1.221112113O. Ponomarenko4.0011050WAug 30 · 10:05O. Ponomarenko1.50591111113M. Tkalich2.5011114562LAug 30 · 09:05O. Ponomarenko2.758370D. Khavanskyi1.401111113LAug 30 · 07:35O. Ponomarenko1.919490S. Osipov1.801111113LAug 30 · 05:35O. Ponomarenko2.6310330S. Semenets1.441211113WAug 29 · 12:20V. Stukalov1.441111116102O. Ponomarenko2.63913611123LAug 29 · 11:20D. Khavanskyi1.33111158113O. Ponomarenko3.2579111172LAug 29 · 09:50O. Stopin1.281111113O. Ponomarenko3.506830LAug 29 · 07:50S. Semenets1.408101111113O. Ponomarenko2.7511122882LAug 29 · 05:50V. Mukhin1.306111110113O. Ponomarenko3.4011741212
O. Efimov10
LAug 28 · 18:00O. Efimov3.25311361S. Osipov1.3311911113WAug 28 · 16:30O. Efimov1.611111113M. Mykhailenko2.208860LAug 28 · 15:00O. Efimov2.6312271182V. Mykhalchenko1.441011119113LAug 28 · 13:30O. Efimov1.61101121152S. Kuzko2.201211105113LAug 28 · 12:00O. Efimov3.007970D. Kunchurov1.361111113LJun 2 · 11:30O. Efimov3.258230O. Ovsiienko1.331111113LJun 2 · 09:30S. Semenets1.36911119113O. Efimov3.0011341182LJun 2 · 07:30O. Miklukha1.2561112113O. Efimov3.751181071LJun 2 · 06:30O. Efimov3.25126641D. Kunchurov1.33101111113LApr 23 · 16:40O. Miklukha1.1711119113O. Efimov4.50691191
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