TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13031574
Played Aug 28Finished
Oleh Efimov
Home
3.00
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 6
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711911711––––
Dmytro Kunchurov
Away
1.36
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
1–9Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:22 and never touched — 70.0% is still 70.0%
Graded at full timeDmytro Kunchurov to win
70.0%
70.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleh Efimov above · Dmytro Kunchurov below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 56 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Dmytro Kunchurov at 70.0%
56 points played in total.
H2H Oleh Efimov 1–4 Dmytro Kunchurov Oleh Efimov has won 1 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:22What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Kunchurov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-4 in 5
Kunchurov
Correct
gap of 3 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Efimov 859 vs Kunchurov 855
Efimov
Wrong
both rated, 4 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Efimov 0% vs Kunchurov 20%
Kunchurov
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Efimov 20% vs Kunchurov 10%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Efimov -5 · Kunchurov +1
Efimov
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Strong (leans Kunchurov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kunchurov form (20%) is below what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsEfimov 3.00 / Kunchurov 1.36
Signal prob.30% / 70%
Edge (Kunchurov)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13031574
Efimov3.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog25% won 5 of 20
Down 0–1, comes back18% 2 of 11
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 8
Kunchurov1.36
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite55% won 31 of 56
Up 2–0, closes it81% 17 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it68% 21 of 31
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeEfimov1wins
AwayKunchurov4wins
1 of 5 to a deciderKunchurov leads 4–1, and 1 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeEfimov33.3%1 of 3
AwayKunchurovn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Efimov3Kunchurov2n = 5Efimov took 3 of 5
S2Efimov0Kunchurov5n = 5Kunchurov took 5 of 5
S3Efimov2Kunchurov3n = 5Kunchurov took 3 of 5
S4Efimov2Kunchurov2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home120%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away240%
0–3Straight, away120%
These 5 meetings
MetricEfimovKunchurovE − KBasisWins14−3in 5 meetingsFirst set32+1of 5Avg pointsper match34.240.8−6.6per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricEfimovKunchurovBasisWin rate · lifetime8 / 38 vs 68 / 18721.1%36.4%8 / 38 vs 68 / 187Avg sets wonper match1.31.7per matchAvg pointsper match32.635.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KunchurovEfimov 3.00/Kunchurov 1.36
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
70%
Kunchurov · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kunchurov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LJun 2 · 06:30O. Efimov—126641D. Kunchurov—101111113
LApr 23 · 14:40O. Efimov—8560D. Kunchurov—1111113
LApr 16 · 10:05O. Efimov—610111172D. Kunchurov—111288113
LApr 3 · 10:35O. Efimov—1110581D. Kunchurov—91211113
WMar 6 · 07:00O. Efimov—11914113D. Kunchurov—5111271
O. Efimov10
LAug 28 · 18:00O. Efimov3.25311361S. Osipov1.3311911113WAug 28 · 16:30O. Efimov1.611111113M. Mykhailenko2.208860LAug 28 · 15:00O. Efimov2.6312271182V. Mykhalchenko1.441011119113LAug 28 · 13:30O. Efimov1.61101121152S. Kuzko2.201211105113LJun 2 · 11:30O. Efimov3.258230O. Ovsiienko1.331111113LJun 2 · 09:30S. Semenets1.36911119113O. Efimov3.0011341182LJun 2 · 07:30O. Miklukha1.2561112113O. Efimov3.751181071LJun 2 · 06:30O. Efimov3.25126641D. Kunchurov1.33101111113LJun 2 · 05:30O. Ponomarenko1.1712611113O. Efimov4.501011861LApr 23 · 16:40O. Miklukha1.1711119113O. Efimov4.50691191
D. Kunchurov10
LSep 6 · 11:05D. Kunchurov1.7311911111M. Zaiats2.0091113133WSep 6 · 09:35D. Kunchurov4.3311119113V. Mykhalchenko1.20661191WSep 6 · 08:05D. Kunchurov1.801111113K. Tsoi1.916550WSep 6 · 06:35D. Kunchurov1.671191011113M. Tkalich2.1081112982WSep 6 · 05:05D. Kunchurov1.28111359113S. Kuzko3.50311111162WSep 5 · 11:00M. Mykhailenko2.1011811992D. Kunchurov1.67911711113WSep 5 · 10:00M. Tkalich1.833150D. Kunchurov1.831111113LSep 5 · 08:30K. Vernudin1.83111197123D. Kunchurov1.83891111102WSep 5 · 06:30V. Mykhalchenko1.1411116672D. Kunchurov5.00791111113WJun 2 · 06:30O. Efimov3.25126641D. Kunchurov1.33101111113
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