TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Liang Qiu vs Manuel Kupfer 3-1 · Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TT
Played Aug 13Finished
Liang Qiu
Home
1.13
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
611116115111––
Manuel Kupfer
Away
5.50
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:46 and never touched — 61.5% is still 61.5%
Graded at full timeLiang Qiu to win
61.5%
61.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingLiang Qiu above · Manuel Kupfer below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 11-1
Point 62 set 4, 11-1 — our read held Liang Qiu at 61.5%
62 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:46What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.13 (83%)
Qiu
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Qiu 1592 vs Kupfer 1193
Qiu
Correct
both rated, 399 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Qiu 60% vs Kupfer 20%
Qiu
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Qiu 60% vs Kupfer 30%
Qiu
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Qiu -1 · Kupfer -3
Kupfer
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 83% — Strong (leans Qiu) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Qiu form (60%) is below what odds imply (89%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsQiu 1.13 / Kupfer 5.50
Signal prob.83% / 17%
Edge (Qiu)-0.0pp
Challenger Series TT · #12412203
Qiu1.13
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Kupfer5.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricQiuKupferBasisWin rate · lifetime20 / 49 vs 8 / 4240.8%19.1%20 / 49 vs 8 / 42Avg sets wonper match1.71.2per matchAvg pointsper match35.930.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
Forecastthe model predicts this market
Match Winner
QiuQiu 1.13/Kupfer 5.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
83%
Qiu · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Qiu won
Handicap · Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
L. Qiu10
WSep 18 · 10:45J. Loffler—8360L. Qiu—1111113LSep 18 · 09:43E. Mendes1.53117129113L. Qiu2.38911101152LSep 18 · 06:30E. Mendes1.50811117113L. Qiu2.5011491152WSep 17 · 16:30D. Zech6.00101090L. Qiu1.111212113WSep 17 · 15:00D. Rinderer1.40811911122L. Qiu2.75119115143LSep 17 · 13:30L. Qiu1.2081211342K. Zimmermann4.331110611113WSep 17 · 11:30L. Qiu1.171211113J. Harencak4.5010790WSep 17 · 10:00L. Qiu1.531211113M. Scharrer2.3810770LSep 17 · 08:00J. Loffler1.57114119113L. Qiu2.2071191152WAug 30 · 09:00L. Qiu1.30111011863T. Tregler3.4071261152
M. Kupfer10
WAug 25 · 08:30A. Moreno1.73511571M. Kupfer2.0011911113LAug 24 · 17:00P. Koloidenko2.001111113M. Kupfer1.736950LAug 24 · 15:30M. Kupfer—131148102E. Huzsvar—1151111123LAug 24 · 13:00M. Kupfer4.509370V. Yefimov1.171111113WAug 24 · 11:30J. Willeke1.50111112982M. Kupfer2.50871411113LAug 24 · 09:30M. Danzer1.031111113M. Kupfer10.004860LAug 24 · 07:30M. Henninger1.0811111011163M. Kupfer7.00713126142LAug 14 · 08:30D. Cheaib1.0211117113M. Kupfer10.50821171LAug 13 · 17:00O. Kosolosky1.051111113M. Kupfer8.507570LAug 13 · 15:30M. Kupfer4.50115581M. Neumaier1.1791111113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.