Liang Qiu vs Karl Zimmermann 2-3 — Challenger Series TT

TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT

Challenger Series TTMatch #13141664

Played Sep 17Finished

Liang Qiu

Home

1.20

At publish

Won last 2

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Won last 2

Final

2 – 3

Set by set

8111210116311411

Karl Zimmermann

Away

4.33

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Lost last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:36 and never touched — 60.3% is still 60.3%

Graded at full time

Liang Qiu to win

60.3%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

not sent

How it is goingLiang Qiu above · Karl Zimmermann below

Set 1 · 8-11

Set 2 · 12-10

Set 3 · 11-6

Set 4 · 3-11

Set 5 · 4-11

Point 87 set 5, 4-11 — our read held Liang Qiu at 60.3%

87 points played in total.

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 17:36

What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.20 (78%)

Qiu

Wrong

no bar to clear — a priced side always votes

H2H

No meetings

—

No value

they have never met

Rating (G2)

Qiu 1595 vs Zimmermann 1650

Zimmermann

Correct

both rated, 55 points apart — no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Qiu 80% vs Zimmermann 40%

Qiu

Wrong

40pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Qiu 50% vs Zimmermann 50%

—

Too close

0pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Streak

Qiu +2 · Zimmermann -1

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 78% — Strong (leans Qiu) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Zimmermann form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (23%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsQiu 1.20 / Zimmermann 4.33

Signal prob.78% / 22%

Edge (Qiu)-0.0pp

Challenger Series TT · #13141664

Qiu1.20

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Won last 2

oldest → newest

56%takes the first set · 5 of 9

As favourite60% won 15 of 25

Up 2–0, closes it100% 8 of 8

Up 1–0, closes it85% 11 of 13

Zimmermann4.33

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As underdog21% won 4 of 19

Down 0–1, comes back8% 1 of 13

Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 8

Head to head

H2H window

First meeting

These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.

Career, not this matchup

MetricQiuZimmermannBasisWin rate · lifetime26 / 62 vs 29 / 5041.9%58%26 / 62 vs 29 / 50Avg sets wonper match1.82.0per matchAvg pointsper match35.135.4per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

Forecastthe model predicts this market

Match Winner

Qiu

Qiu 1.20/Zimmermann 4.33

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

78.3%

Qiu · sealed before the serve

What happened

2–3

Zimmermann won

Handicap · Total sets · Score

These two have never met.

The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.

Recent Results

L. Qiu10