TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #13139910
Played Sep 17Finished
Jeromy Loffler
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
117411119911115
Liang Qiu
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:59 and never touched — 58.4% is still 58.4%
Graded at full timeJeromy Loffler to win
58.4%
58.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
89 points played in total.
Set by set
117411119911115
H2H Jeromy Loffler 5–3 Liang Qiu Liang Qiu has won 3 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:59What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (58%)
Loffler
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-3 in 8
Loffler
Correct
gap of 2 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Loffler 1789 vs Qiu 1571
Loffler
Correct
both rated, 218 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Loffler 80% vs Qiu 60%
Loffler
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Loffler 70% vs Qiu 50%
Loffler
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Loffler +1 · Qiu +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Loffler)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Qiu form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLoffler 1.57 / Qiu 2.20
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Loffler)+0.4pp
Challenger Series TT · #13139910
Loffler1.57
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite87% won 34 of 39
Up 2–0, closes it100% 17 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it93% 26 of 28
Qiu2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest56%takes the first set · 5 of 9
As underdog17% won 3 of 18
Down 0–1, comes back13% 2 of 15
Down 0–2, comes back9% 1 of 11
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeLoffler5wins
AwayQiu3wins
2 of 8 to a deciderLoffler leads 5–3, and 2 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLoffler80%4 of 5
AwayQiu66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Loffler5Qiu3n = 8Loffler took 5 of 8
S2Loffler5Qiu3n = 8Loffler took 5 of 8
S3Loffler2Qiu6n = 8Qiu took 6 of 8
S4Loffler3Qiu4n = 7Qiu took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home338%
3–2Decider, home225%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away225%
0–3Straight, away113%
These 8 meetings
MetricLofflerQiuL − QBasisWins53+2in 8 meetingsFirst set53+2of 8Avg pointsper match39.641.0−1.4per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLofflerQiuBasisWin rate · lifetime80 / 141 vs 24 / 5956.7%40.7%80 / 141 vs 24 / 59Avg sets wonper match2.11.7per matchAvg pointsper match35.335.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LofflerLoffler 1.57/Qiu 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.8%
Loffler · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Loffler won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WJul 24 · 09:45J. Loffler4511912133L. Qiu3751110111
WJul 23 · 08:30J. Loffler551611611113L. Qiu52145111392
WJul 23 · 07:30J. Loffler551611611113L. Qiu52145111392
WMay 25 · 08:00J. Loffler4111118113L. Qiu35691191
LFeb 23 · 10:30J. Loffler25711611L. Qiu4011711113
LMay 30 · 10:30J. Loffler27113671L. Qiu4291111113
WMar 13 · 12:30J. Loffler4291111113L. Qiu36117991
LFeb 10 · 09:00J. Loffler2710890L. Qiu341211113
J. Loffler10
WSep 17 · 09:30J. Loffler—1111113J. Harencak—5680LSep 15 · 10:30E. Mendes—6553J. Loffler—1111110LSep 15 · 09:45J. Loffler2.3081150I. Bertrand1.521113113WSep 15 · 07:30S. Happek4.157670J. Loffler1.181111113WSep 14 · 17:30J. Loffler—137117113Y. Su—111141182WSep 14 · 16:00S. Almeida—5980J. Loffler—1111113WSep 14 · 14:00J. Lama2.2796100J. Loffler1.571111123WSep 14 · 12:00J. Loffler3.65511711143E. Mendes1.22117118122WSep 14 · 09:30J. Loffler1.38111011113T. Saltzer2.80512681LSep 14 · 08:00J. Loffler2.5511126952I. Bertrand1.428101111113
L. Qiu10
WAug 30 · 09:00L. Qiu1.30111011863T. Tregler3.4071261152WAug 30 · 08:00L. Qiu3.0011113113T. Polansky1.36791151LAug 29 · 09:42L. Qiu—11911652J. Piccolin—71131163WAug 29 · 08:00L. Qiu—76111363G. Camara—111151152LAug 28 · 08:00L. Qiu—2D. Prokopcov—3LAug 20 · 14:00E. Huzsvar—11117113L. Qiu—471151LAug 20 · 12:00L. Qiu3.406530D. Rinderer1.301111113WAug 20 · 09:30L. Qiu1.0512119113A. Moreno8.501091191LAug 20 · 08:00L. Qiu3.2510640M. Danzer1.331211113WAug 14 · 07:30D. Zech7.501511961L. Qiu1.0717411113
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