TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #13141667
Played Sep 17Finished
Jeromy Loffler
Home
1.18
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1121311411112––
Karl Zimmermann
Away
4.15
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:37 and never touched — 65.4% is still 65.4%
Graded at full timeJeromy Loffler to win
65.4%
65.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
65 points played in total.
Set by set
1121311411112––
H2H Jeromy Loffler 2–0 Karl Zimmermann Karl Zimmermann has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:37What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.18 (78%)
Loffler
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Loffler 1799 vs Zimmermann 1659
Loffler
Correct
both rated, 140 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Loffler 80% vs Zimmermann 60%
Loffler
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Loffler 90% vs Zimmermann 60%
Loffler
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Loffler +3 · Zimmermann +2
Loffler
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 78% — Strong (leans Loffler) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zimmermann form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (24%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLoffler 1.18 / Zimmermann 4.15
Signal prob.78% / 22%
Edge (Loffler)+0.0pp
Challenger Series TT · #13141667
Loffler1.18
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite87% won 34 of 39
Up 2–0, closes it100% 17 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it93% 26 of 28
Zimmermann4.15
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog21% won 4 of 19
Down 0–1, comes back8% 1 of 13
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 8
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeLoffler2wins
AwayZimmermann0wins
Loffler leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricLofflerZimmermannL − ZBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match38.032.5+5.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLofflerZimmermannBasisWin rate · lifetime82 / 143 vs 29 / 4957.3%59.2%82 / 143 vs 29 / 49Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match35.335.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LofflerLoffler 1.18/Zimmermann 4.15
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
77.9%
Loffler · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Loffler won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WAug 3 · 14:00J. Loffler4314211163K. Zimmermann4512118141
WJul 28 · 09:45J. Loffler331111113K. Zimmermann206770
J. Loffler10
WSep 17 · 09:30J. Loffler—1111113J. Harencak—5680WSep 17 · 08:00J. Loffler1.57114119113L. Qiu2.2071191152LSep 15 · 10:30E. Mendes—6553J. Loffler—1111110LSep 15 · 09:45J. Loffler2.3081150I. Bertrand1.521113113WSep 15 · 07:30S. Happek4.157670J. Loffler1.181111113WSep 14 · 17:30J. Loffler—137117113Y. Su—111141182WSep 14 · 16:00S. Almeida—5980J. Loffler—1111113WSep 14 · 14:00J. Lama2.2796100J. Loffler1.571111123WSep 14 · 12:00J. Loffler3.65511711143E. Mendes1.22117118122WSep 14 · 09:30J. Loffler1.38111011113T. Saltzer2.80512681
K. Zimmermann10
WSep 17 · 09:00D. Zech2.7511871172K. Zimmermann1.40911118113WSep 17 · 07:00E. Mendes1.201151171K. Zimmermann4.3381113113LSep 1 · 11:00K. Fadeev2.003121110113K. Zimmermann1.70111011272LSep 1 · 10:25K. Zimmermann2.107630M. Henninger1.671111113WSep 1 · 08:30S. Almeida—119111172K. Zimmermann—131199113LAug 31 · 17:00A. Limonov1.3011119113K. Zimmermann3.40691151LAug 31 · 15:30K. Zimmermann2.6311115282K. Fadeev1.44361111113WAug 31 · 13:00K. Zimmermann—11118113M. Stefanidis—661161WAug 31 · 11:30S. Amann8.007860K. Zimmermann1.061111113WAug 31 · 09:30M. Gremillion3.75441151K. Zimmermann1.2511115113
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