TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12361708
Played Aug 5Finished
Jaroslav Strnad 1961
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 8Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 8
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
114711119711115
Miloslav Hubka
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:56 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMiloslav Hubka to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJaroslav Strnad 1961 above · Miloslav Hubka below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 11-5
Point 87 set 5, 11-5 — our read held Miloslav Hubka at 54.0%
87 points played in total.
H2H Jaroslav Strnad 1961 1–0 Miloslav Hubka Miloslav Hubka has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 16:56What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Hubka
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Strnad 1011 vs Hubka 1083
Hubka
Wrong
both rated, 72 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Strnad 0% vs Hubka 0%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Strnad 10% vs Hubka 50%
Hubka
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Strnad -5 · Hubka -5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Hubka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hubka form (0%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStrnad 1.83 / Hubka 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Hubka)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12361708
Strnad1.83
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 8
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
Hubka1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeStrnad1wins
AwayHubka0wins
1 of 1 to a deciderStrnad leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricStrnadHubkaS − HBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match47.040.0+7.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStrnadHubkaBasisWin rate · lifetime165 / 395 vs 19 / 4741.8%40.4%165 / 395 vs 19 / 47Avg sets wonper match1.81.7per matchAvg pointsper match35.235.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HubkaStrnad 1.83/Hubka 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Hubka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Strnad won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WAug 5 · 12:30J. Strnad—117117113M. Hubka—41191152
J. Strnad10
LSep 4 · 02:00J. Strnad3.00161013972J. Cernik1.3614121111113LSep 4 · 01:00J. Strnad1.8339130M. Vaclavik1.831111153LSep 4 · 24:00A. Hejduk1.331211113J. Strnad3.2510830LSep 3 · 22:30J. Grohsgott1.201111113J. Strnad4.334460WSep 3 · 08:58M. Smesny1.30116771J. Strnad3.4081111113LSep 3 · 08:30J. Strnad3.2552100M. Smesny1.331111123LSep 3 · 07:00J. Strnad2.75481161M. Vrabec1.4011116113LSep 3 · 06:00L. Novotny1.5711117113J. Strnad2.25541151LSep 1 · 09:03J. Cernik1.5381111113J. Strnad2.38113891LSep 1 · 08:00J. Cernik1.441111113J. Strnad2.638380
M. Hubka10
WAug 5 · 12:59J. Strnad1.80291181M. Hubka1.9111115113LAug 5 · 11:30M. Hubka1.91112591V. Stach1.8071111113LAug 5 · 10:30M. Smesny1.501111113M. Hubka2.509760LAug 5 · 08:59A. Tkachenko2.00118115113M. Hubka1.7331171172LAug 5 · 08:30A. Tkachenko2.201171011113M. Hubka1.6191112762LAug 5 · 07:30M. Hubka2.2078100J. Vrba1.611111123WAug 5 · 06:30V. Stach1.6711101211122M. Hubka2.10212148143WJun 18 · 13:30M. Hubka1.40111110133J. Koch2.759512111WJun 18 · 12:00J. Stary2.75115841M. Hubka1.4081111113WJun 18 · 11:00J. Jira2.639630M. Hubka1.441111113
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