TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12361673
Played Aug 5Finished
Miloslav Hubka
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 4
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
117211511911––
Vojtech Stach
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:57 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVojtech Stach to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMiloslav Hubka above · Vojtech Stach below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 2-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 67 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Vojtech Stach at 54.0%
67 points played in total.
H2H Miloslav Hubka 1–0 Vojtech Stach Vojtech Stach has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 16:57What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Stach
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Hubka 1108 vs Stach 1167
Stach
Correct
both rated, 59 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hubka 20% vs Stach 40%
Stach
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hubka 60% vs Stach 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hubka -4 · Stach +1
Hubka
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Stach)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stach form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHubka 1.91 / Stach 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Stach)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12361673
Hubka1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog28% won 7 of 25
Down 0–1, comes back15% 2 of 13
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 8
Stach1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite64% won 7 of 11
Up 2–0, closes it100% 5 of 5
Up 1–0, closes it100% 6 of 6
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeHubka1wins
AwayStach0wins
1 of 1 to a deciderHubka leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricHubkaStachH − SBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match50.056.0−6.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHubkaStachBasisWin rate · lifetime19 / 45 vs 58 / 11742.2%49.6%19 / 45 vs 58 / 117Avg sets wonper match1.81.9per matchAvg pointsper match35.634.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StachHubka 1.91/Stach 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Stach · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Stach won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WAug 5 · 06:30M. Hubka—212148143V. Stach—11101211122
M. Hubka10
WAug 5 · 12:59J. Strnad1.80291181M. Hubka1.9111115113LAug 5 · 12:30J. Strnad1.83117117113M. Hubka1.8341191152LAug 5 · 10:30M. Smesny1.501111113M. Hubka2.509760LAug 5 · 08:59A. Tkachenko2.00118115113M. Hubka1.7331171172LAug 5 · 08:30A. Tkachenko2.201171011113M. Hubka1.6191112762LAug 5 · 07:30M. Hubka2.2078100J. Vrba1.611111123WAug 5 · 06:30V. Stach1.6711101211122M. Hubka2.10212148143WJun 18 · 13:30M. Hubka1.40111110133J. Koch2.759512111WJun 18 · 12:00J. Stary2.75115841M. Hubka1.4081111113WJun 18 · 11:00J. Jira2.639630M. Hubka1.441111113
V. Stach10
WSep 5 · 17:03M. Syroha1.514670V. Stach2.401111113WSep 5 · 16:00V. Stach2.6351112123M. Syroha1.4411810101LSep 5 · 15:30J. Grohsgott1.671111133V. Stach2.1038110LSep 5 · 14:00V. Stach2.509790M. Regner1.501111113WSep 5 · 13:30M. Syroha2.2561141182V. Stach1.57118118113LSep 5 · 12:00M. Syroha1.441114126113V. Stach2.63512141112WSep 5 · 11:00L. Havrda1.5728100V. Stach2.251111123LSep 5 · 10:30V. Stach2.1011470J. Grohsgott1.671311113LAug 30 · 03:30L. Havrda1.851111113V. Stach1.856380LAug 5 · 06:30V. Stach1.6711101211122M. Hubka2.10212148143
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