TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Maciej Nowalinski vs Artur Gromek 1-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Aug 4Finished
Maciej Nowalinski
Home
1.36
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
9111113112811––
Artur Gromek
Away
3.00
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:45 and never touched — 59.9% is still 59.9%
Graded at full timeMaciej Nowalinski to win
59.9%
59.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMaciej Nowalinski above · Artur Gromek below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 11-2
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 76 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Maciej Nowalinski at 59.9%
76 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:45What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Nowalinski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Nowalinski 1720 vs Gromek 1482
Nowalinski
Wrong
both rated, 238 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Nowalinski 40% vs Gromek 0%
Nowalinski
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Nowalinski 30% vs Gromek 30%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Nowalinski +2 · Gromek -5
Gromek
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 76% — Strong (leans Nowalinski) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gromek form (0%) is below what odds imply (33%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNowalinski 1.36 / Gromek 3.00
Signal prob.76% / 24%
Edge (Nowalinski)+7.0pp
TT Elite Series · #12356246
Nowalinski1.36
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite60% won 222 of 370
Up 2–0, closes it99% 74 of 75
Up 1–0, closes it84% 158 of 189
Gromek3.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog28% won 29 of 103
Down 0–1, comes back17% 11 of 65
Down 0–2, comes back9% 4 of 43
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricNowalinskiGromekBasisWin rate · lifetime876 / 1799 vs 51 / 15248.7%33.6%876 / 1799 vs 51 / 152Avg sets wonper match2.01.6per matchAvg pointsper match38.536.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NowalinskiNowalinski 1.36/Gromek 3.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
75.8%
Nowalinski · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Gromek won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
M. Nowalinski10
WSep 11 · 21:20M. Marchlewski2.757880M. Nowalinski1.401111113LSep 11 · 20:30T. Filbrandt2.631411169113M. Nowalinski1.44168141192WSep 11 · 18:30K. Strowski1.8311591132M. Nowalinski1.83611119113WSep 11 · 17:40J. Mitas2.6351111852M. Nowalinski1.44119611113WSep 11 · 16:05P. Jendrzejewski1.8371161192M. Nowalinski1.83118114113WSep 11 · 14:15M. Miastowski1.731285151M. Nowalinski1.92101111173LSep 11 · 13:25K. Wisniewski2.551181111113M. Nowalinski1.4213115592WSep 11 · 11:20K. Staszczyk2.6586111412M. Nowalinski1.381111712113LSep 11 · 10:30M. Kolek2.5512114113M. Nowalinski1.421091151WSep 11 · 09:00D. Kosmal2.75611761M. Nowalinski1.3611611113
A. Gromek10
LAug 5 · 24:35J. Glanowski2.00111011113A. Gromek1.73512731LAug 4 · 22:55M. Rutkowski1.30111299113A. Gromek3.40610111142LAug 4 · 22:10J. Kuzmicz1.20911911113A. Gromek3.8511411762LAug 4 · 21:25M. Kolek1.801111133A. Gromek1.9187110LAug 4 · 19:15A. Daniel1.301111113A. Gromek3.402560LAug 4 · 17:20K. Strowski1.3311812113A. Gromek3.255111071LAug 4 · 16:30M. Sklensky1.25101111113A. Gromek3.75126781LAug 4 · 15:00J. Kuzmicz1.401211119113A. Gromek2.7514491172LAug 4 · 24:35M. Rutkowski1.531111113A. Gromek2.389870LAug 3 · 22:55J. Glanowski1.80811411113A. Gromek1.9111911592
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