TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Maciej Kolek vs Artur Gromek 3-0 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Aug 4Finished
Maciej Kolek
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1181171311––––
Artur Gromek
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:45 and never touched — 63.4% is still 63.4%
Graded at full timeMaciej Kolek to win
63.4%
63.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMaciej Kolek above · Artur Gromek below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 13-11
Point 61 set 3, 13-11 — our read held Maciej Kolek at 63.4%
61 points played in total.
H2H Maciej Kolek 1–1 Artur Gromek Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:45What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Kolek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Kolek 1567 vs Gromek 1490
Kolek
Correct
both rated, 77 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolek 40% vs Gromek 20%
Kolek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolek 60% vs Gromek 40%
Kolek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolek -1 · Gromek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kolek) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gromek form (20%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolek 1.80 / Gromek 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Kolek)+2.5pp
TT Elite Series · #12356245
Kolek1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite59% won 302 of 511
Up 2–0, closes it96% 121 of 126
Up 1–0, closes it82% 228 of 278
Gromek1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog28% won 29 of 103
Down 0–1, comes back17% 11 of 65
Down 0–2, comes back9% 4 of 43
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeKolek1wins
AwayGromek1wins
1 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricKolekGromekK − GBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match41.538.5+3.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolekGromekBasisWin rate · lifetime607 / 1220 vs 52 / 15449.8%33.8%607 / 1220 vs 52 / 154Avg sets wonper match2.01.6per matchAvg pointsper match38.836.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KolekKolek 1.80/Gromek 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Kolek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kolek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WAug 4 · 21:25M. Kolek351111133A. Gromek2687110
LJul 7 · 11:50M. Kolek48111179102A. Gromek51891111123
M. Kolek10
LSep 22 · 24:10J. Mitas1.7311711133M. Kolek2.007118111WSep 21 · 23:45M. Kolek2.0011811113K. Staszczyk1.73411771WSep 21 · 22:55M. Kolek1.8311116113J. Chmielowski1.83991181LSep 21 · 21:00M. Kolek1.409111211102K. Kostyk2.75116145123WSep 21 · 19:40M. Kolek1.5391211113P. Blocho2.381110441LSep 21 · 18:30M. Kolek2.00812791J. Chmielowski1.73111011113LSep 21 · 17:20M. Kolek1.805690M. Minda1.911111113LSep 21 · 16:05K. Kostyk2.6311111123M. Kolek1.447118101WSep 21 · 15:25M. Kolek2.0011114113J. Mitas1.73951161WSep 21 · 24:35P. Blocho2.5091191182M. Kolek1.50118119113
A. Gromek10
LAug 5 · 24:35J. Glanowski2.00111011113A. Gromek1.73512731LAug 4 · 22:55M. Rutkowski1.30111299113A. Gromek3.40610111142LAug 4 · 22:10J. Kuzmicz1.20911911113A. Gromek3.8511411762WAug 4 · 20:05M. Nowalinski1.369111181A. Gromek3.0011132113LAug 4 · 19:15A. Daniel1.301111113A. Gromek3.402560LAug 4 · 17:20K. Strowski1.3311812113A. Gromek3.255111071LAug 4 · 16:30M. Sklensky1.25101111113A. Gromek3.75126781LAug 4 · 15:00J. Kuzmicz1.401211119113A. Gromek2.7514491172LAug 4 · 24:35M. Rutkowski1.531111113A. Gromek2.389870LAug 3 · 22:55J. Glanowski1.80811411113A. Gromek1.9111911592
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