TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Karol Strowski vs Artur Gromek 3-1 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Aug 4Finished
Karol Strowski
Home
1.33
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1158111210117––
Artur Gromek
Away
3.25
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:56 and never touched — 61.9% is still 61.9%
Graded at full timeKarol Strowski to win
61.9%
61.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingKarol Strowski above · Artur Gromek below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 75 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Karol Strowski at 61.9%
75 points played in total.
H2H Karol Strowski 1–0 Artur Gromek Artur Gromek has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:56What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Strowski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Strowski 1749 vs Gromek 1488
Strowski
Correct
both rated, 261 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Strowski 20% vs Gromek 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Strowski 30% vs Gromek 30%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Strowski -1 · Gromek -4
Gromek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 78% — Strong (leans Strowski) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gromek form (20%) is below what odds imply (31%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStrowski 1.33 / Gromek 3.25
Signal prob.78% / 22%
Edge (Strowski)+7.0pp
TT Elite Series · #12356251
Strowski1.33
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite66% won 301 of 455
Up 2–0, closes it97% 107 of 110
Up 1–0, closes it85% 206 of 242
Gromek3.25
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog28% won 29 of 103
Down 0–1, comes back17% 11 of 65
Down 0–2, comes back9% 4 of 43
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeStrowski1wins
AwayGromek0wins
1 of 1 to a deciderStrowski leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricStrowskiGromekS − GBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match49.042.0+7.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStrowskiGromekBasisWin rate · lifetime877 / 1473 vs 51 / 15159.5%33.8%877 / 1473 vs 51 / 151Avg sets wonper match2.21.7per matchAvg pointsper match38.836.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StrowskiStrowski 1.33/Gromek 3.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
77.9%
Strowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Strowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WJul 20 · 18:30K. Strowski49811118113A. Gromek4211931182
K. Strowski10
WSep 22 · 14:15K. Strowski2.25128711123J. Kuzmicz1.571011116102WSep 22 · 12:35P. Klos1.8510850K. Strowski1.851211113WSep 22 · 11:45P. Jendrzejewski2.705660K. Strowski1.411111113LSep 22 · 10:55K. Strowski1.55511141D. Prokopcov2.2511114113LSep 22 · 09:45K. Strowski1.957860M. Murawski1.761111113WSep 22 · 08:05P. Jendrzejewski2.7011811762K. Strowski1.37811911113LSep 22 · 07:15P. Klos1.85111198113K. Strowski1.8599111172WSep 22 · 05:15K. Wisniewski3.307101171K. Strowski1.2111126113WSep 22 · 04:25D. Prokopcov2.41761181K. Strowski1.4411114113WSep 22 · 03:00K. Wloczko2.00129881K. Strowski1.71101111113
A. Gromek10
LAug 5 · 24:35J. Glanowski2.00111011113A. Gromek1.73512731LAug 4 · 22:55M. Rutkowski1.30111299113A. Gromek3.40610111142LAug 4 · 22:10J. Kuzmicz1.20911911113A. Gromek3.8511411762LAug 4 · 21:25M. Kolek1.801111133A. Gromek1.9187110WAug 4 · 20:05M. Nowalinski1.369111181A. Gromek3.0011132113LAug 4 · 19:15A. Daniel1.301111113A. Gromek3.402560LAug 4 · 16:30M. Sklensky1.25101111113A. Gromek3.75126781LAug 4 · 15:00J. Kuzmicz1.401211119113A. Gromek2.7514491172LAug 4 · 24:35M. Rutkowski1.531111113A. Gromek2.389870LAug 3 · 22:55J. Glanowski1.80811411113A. Gromek1.9111911592
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