TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Jakub Kuzmicz vs Artur Gromek 3-2 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Aug 4Finished
Jakub Kuzmicz
Home
1.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
911114911117116
Artur Gromek
Away
3.85
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:45 and never touched — 65.8% is still 65.8%
Graded at full timeJakub Kuzmicz to win
65.8%
65.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJakub Kuzmicz above · Artur Gromek below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 90 set 5, 11-6 — our read held Jakub Kuzmicz at 65.8%
90 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Kuzmicz 6–2 Artur Gromek Artur Gromek has won 2 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:45What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.20 (76%)
Kuzmicz
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-2 in 8
Kuzmicz
Correct
gap of 4 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kuzmicz 1718 vs Gromek 1479
Kuzmicz
Correct
both rated, 239 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kuzmicz 60% vs Gromek 20%
Kuzmicz
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kuzmicz 60% vs Gromek 30%
Kuzmicz
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kuzmicz +1 · Gromek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 87% — Strong (leans Kuzmicz) · live re-read · sealed at 66% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kuzmicz form (60%) is below what odds imply (83%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKuzmicz 1.20 / Gromek 3.85
Signal prob.87% / 13%
Edge (Kuzmicz)+11.0pp
TT Elite Series · #12356244
Kuzmicz1.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite59% won 374 of 631
Up 2–0, closes it97% 152 of 157
Up 1–0, closes it81% 256 of 318
Gromek3.85
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog28% won 29 of 103
Down 0–1, comes back17% 11 of 65
Down 0–2, comes back9% 4 of 43
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeKuzmicz6wins
AwayGromek2wins
5 of 8 to a deciderKuzmicz leads 6–2, and 5 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKuzmicz66.7%2 of 3
AwayGromek20%1 of 5
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kuzmicz3Gromek5n = 8Gromek took 5 of 8
S2Kuzmicz6Gromek2n = 8Kuzmicz took 6 of 8
S3Kuzmicz4Gromek4n = 8split evenly
S4Kuzmicz3Gromek3n = 6split evenly
S5Kuzmicz4Gromek1n = 5Kuzmicz took 4 of 5
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home113%
3–1Four sets, home113%
3–2Decider, home450%
2–3Decider, away113%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away113%
These 8 meetings
MetricKuzmiczGromekK − GBasisWins62+4in 8 meetingsFirst set35−2of 8Avg pointsper match43.539.1+4.4per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKuzmiczGromekBasisWin rate · lifetime557 / 977 vs 52 / 15557%33.6%557 / 977 vs 52 / 155Avg sets wonper match2.21.6per matchAvg pointsper match39.836.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KuzmiczKuzmicz 1.20/Gromek 3.85
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
87.2%
Kuzmicz · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kuzmicz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WAug 4 · 22:10J. Kuzmicz51911911113A. Gromek3911411762
WAug 4 · 15:00J. Kuzmicz541211119113A. Gromek4514491172
LAug 3 · 21:25J. Kuzmicz2611690A. Gromek351311113
WJul 21 · 23:15J. Kuzmicz43111110113A. Gromek37881291
WJul 21 · 21:00J. Kuzmicz45411118113A. Gromek4211961152
WJul 20 · 23:55J. Kuzmicz331111113A. Gromek239770
WJul 20 · 21:45J. Kuzmicz50891111113A. Gromek4511115992
LFeb 26 · 15:25J. Kuzmicz46111175122A. Gromek47651111143
J. Kuzmicz10
LSep 22 · 14:15K. Strowski2.25128711123J. Kuzmicz1.571011116102LSep 22 · 13:25D. Prokopcov3.2011811113J. Kuzmicz1.30911791WSep 22 · 11:20P. Klos1.809690J. Kuzmicz1.851111113WSep 22 · 10:30M. Murawski1.9511720J. Kuzmicz1.751311113LSep 22 · 09:00P. Jendrzejewski2.60911119113J. Kuzmicz1.4211961192LSep 21 · 14:10G. Felkel1.441111113J. Kuzmicz2.636670LSep 21 · 13:20D. Michna1.4461111113J. Kuzmicz2.63116791WSep 21 · 11:15A. Wiecek1.618121171J. Kuzmicz2.2011145113LSep 21 · 10:25M. Jadczyk1.671111113J. Kuzmicz2.109770WSep 21 · 09:00M. Murawski1.73811101152J. Kuzmicz2.00116128113
A. Gromek10
LAug 5 · 24:35J. Glanowski2.00111011113A. Gromek1.73512731LAug 4 · 22:55M. Rutkowski1.30111299113A. Gromek3.40610111142LAug 4 · 21:25M. Kolek1.801111133A. Gromek1.9187110WAug 4 · 20:05M. Nowalinski1.369111181A. Gromek3.0011132113LAug 4 · 19:15A. Daniel1.301111113A. Gromek3.402560LAug 4 · 17:20K. Strowski1.3311812113A. Gromek3.255111071LAug 4 · 16:30M. Sklensky1.25101111113A. Gromek3.75126781LAug 4 · 15:00J. Kuzmicz1.401211119113A. Gromek2.7514491172LAug 4 · 24:35M. Rutkowski1.531111113A. Gromek2.389870LAug 3 · 22:55J. Glanowski1.80811411113A. Gromek1.9111911592
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