TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Michal Murawski vs Jakub Kuzmicz 0-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 22Finished
Michal Murawski
Home
1.95
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
1–9Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1113711211––––
Jakub Kuzmicz
Away
1.75
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:05 and never touched — 64.8% is still 64.8%
Graded at full timeJakub Kuzmicz to win
64.8%
64.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
55 points played in total.
Set by set
1113711211––––
H2H Michal Murawski 2–1 Jakub Kuzmicz Jakub Kuzmicz has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 03:05What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.75 (53%)
Kuzmicz
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Murawski 1805 vs Kuzmicz 1885
Kuzmicz
Correct
both rated, 80 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Murawski 20% vs Kuzmicz 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Murawski 10% vs Kuzmicz 40%
Kuzmicz
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Murawski +1 · Kuzmicz -3
Kuzmicz
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Kuzmicz) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kuzmicz form (20%) is below what odds imply (57%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMurawski 1.95 / Kuzmicz 1.75
Signal prob.45% / 56%
Edge (Kuzmicz)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13174381
Murawski1.95
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Kuzmicz1.75
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite63% won 407 of 646
Up 2–0, closes it98% 169 of 173
Up 1–0, closes it82% 283 of 344
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeMurawski2wins
AwayKuzmicz1wins
1 of 3 to a deciderMurawski leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Murawski1Kuzmicz2n = 3Kuzmicz took 2 of 3
S2Murawski3Kuzmicz0n = 3Murawski took 3 of 3
S3Murawski2Kuzmicz1n = 3Murawski took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricMurawskiKuzmiczM − KBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match39.335.0+4.3per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMurawskiKuzmiczBasisWin rate · lifetime449 / 769 vs 698 / 120958.4%57.7%449 / 769 vs 698 / 1209Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match36.740.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KuzmiczMurawski 1.95/Kuzmicz 1.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.5%
Kuzmicz · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kuzmicz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LSep 21 · 09:00M. Murawski45811101152J. Kuzmicz48116128113
WSep 21 · 08:05M. Murawski4061111123J. Kuzmicz351177101
WMar 10 · 06:20M. Murawski331111113J. Kuzmicz227690
M. Murawski10
WSep 22 · 09:45K. Strowski1.957860M. Murawski1.761111113LSep 22 · 08:30M. Murawski1.831121191A. Wiecek1.8391113113LSep 22 · 06:55M. Murawski1.6771011101D. Michna2.1011129123LSep 22 · 05:40M. Murawski1.833350J. Kosowski1.831111113LSep 22 · 04:10M. Murawski1.73611521J. Braun2.0011711113LSep 22 · 03:00M. Murawski2.006830G. Felkel1.731111113LSep 21 · 14:35M. Murawski1.7381112482D. Michna2.001181011113LSep 21 · 12:55M. Murawski2.2012111031M. Jadczyk1.61101312113LSep 21 · 11:40M. Murawski2.202670G. Felkel1.611111113LSep 21 · 10:00M. Murawski1.91911591A. Wiecek1.8011911113
J. Kuzmicz10
LSep 22 · 09:00P. Jendrzejewski2.60911119113J. Kuzmicz1.4211961192LSep 21 · 14:10G. Felkel1.441111113J. Kuzmicz2.636670LSep 21 · 13:20D. Michna1.4461111113J. Kuzmicz2.63116791WSep 21 · 11:15A. Wiecek1.618121171J. Kuzmicz2.2011145113LSep 21 · 10:25M. Jadczyk1.671111113J. Kuzmicz2.109770WSep 21 · 09:00M. Murawski1.73811101152J. Kuzmicz2.00116128113LSep 21 · 08:05M. Murawski1.7361111123J. Kuzmicz2.001177101WSep 21 · 07:20A. Wiecek1.67911111152J. Kuzmicz2.10118135113LSep 21 · 05:15D. Michna1.401311113J. Kuzmicz2.7511560WSep 21 · 04:30M. Jadczyk1.67119671J. Kuzmicz2.1081111113
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