TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 21Finished
Michal Murawski
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
6111171171210––
Jakub Kuzmicz
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:48 and never touched — 59.7% is still 59.7%
Graded at full timeMichal Murawski to win
59.7%
59.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMichal Murawski above · Jakub Kuzmicz below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 12-10
Point 75 set 4, 12-10 — our read held Michal Murawski at 59.7%
75 points played in total.
H2H Michal Murawski 1–0 Jakub Kuzmicz Jakub Kuzmicz has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:48What took a side1 for · 1 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Murawski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Murawski 1873 vs Kuzmicz 1942
Kuzmicz
Wrong
both rated, 70 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Murawski 80% vs Kuzmicz 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Murawski 70% vs Kuzmicz 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Murawski +2 · Kuzmicz +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Murawski) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kuzmicz form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMurawski 1.73 / Kuzmicz 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Murawski)+0.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13164787
Murawski1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Kuzmicz2.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog52% won 122 of 236
Down 0–1, comes back33% 36 of 108
Down 0–2, comes back11% 4 of 36
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeMurawski1wins
AwayKuzmicz0wins
Murawski leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricMurawskiKuzmiczM − KBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match33.022.0+11.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMurawskiKuzmiczBasisWin rate · lifetime1072 / 1757 vs 696 / 120261%57.9%1072 / 1757 vs 696 / 1202Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.540.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MurawskiMurawski 1.73/Kuzmicz 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Murawski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Murawski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WMar 10 · 06:20M. Murawski331111113J. Kuzmicz227690
M. Murawski10
LSep 21 · 09:00M. Murawski1.73811101152J. Kuzmicz2.00116128113WSep 21 · 06:30D. Michna2.1011961172M. Murawski1.67811117113WSep 21 · 05:40G. Felkel1.61911681M. Murawski2.2011411113LSep 21 · 04:55M. Murawski2.1011611582A. Wiecek1.67811811113WSep 21 · 03:45M. Murawski2.001181111113M. Jadczyk1.7391113472WMar 11 · 16:35M. Olejnik1.838770M. Murawski1.831111113LMar 11 · 15:30M. Murawski2.101188101J. Kosowski1.6771111123LMar 11 · 14:15M. Jadczyk1.5311129123M. Murawski2.3861011101WMar 11 · 13:00A. Grela2.252990M. Murawski1.571111113WMar 11 · 11:25P. David1.36712111182M. Murawski3.00111495113
J. Kuzmicz10
WSep 21 · 09:00M. Murawski1.73811101152J. Kuzmicz2.00116128113WSep 21 · 07:20A. Wiecek1.67911111152J. Kuzmicz2.10118135113LSep 21 · 05:15D. Michna1.401311113J. Kuzmicz2.7511560WSep 21 · 04:30M. Jadczyk1.67119671J. Kuzmicz2.1081111113WSep 21 · 03:00G. Felkel1.5368111192J. Kuzmicz2.38111159113WSep 18 · 15:45J. Kuzmicz1.2612811113J. Stecyszyn2.951011781LSep 18 · 14:10J. Kuzmicz2.20119101142J. Kosowski1.61711129113WSep 18 · 12:55J. Kuzmicz3.00111656113D. Wederlich1.36714111162WSep 18 · 11:15J. Kuzmicz2.757111115113A. Grela1.4011771792LSep 18 · 10:00J. Kuzmicz2.6381231182J. Zandecki1.441110117113
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