TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 21Finished
Maciej Kolek
Home
1.53
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
9111210114114––
Przemyslaw Blocho
Away
2.38
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:54 and never touched — 66.0% is still 66.0%
Graded at full timeMaciej Kolek to win
66.0%
66.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMaciej Kolek above · Przemyslaw Blocho below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 11-4
Point 72 set 4, 11-4 — our read held Maciej Kolek at 66.0%
72 points played in total.
H2H Maciej Kolek 9–2 Przemyslaw Blocho Przemyslaw Blocho has won 2 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:54What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Kolek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-2 in 11
Kolek
Correct
gap of 7 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kolek 1618 vs Blocho 1481
Kolek
Correct
both rated, 137 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolek 40% vs Blocho 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolek 60% vs Blocho 30%
Kolek
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolek -3 · Blocho -2
Kolek
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Kolek) · live re-read · sealed at 66% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kolek form (40%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolek 1.53 / Blocho 2.38
Signal prob.65% / 35%
Edge (Kolek)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13165450
Kolek1.53
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite61% won 259 of 426
Up 2–0, closes it94% 89 of 95
Up 1–0, closes it81% 194 of 240
Blocho2.38
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog41% won 52 of 126
Down 0–1, comes back22% 16 of 73
Down 0–2, comes back6% 2 of 34
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKolek9wins
AwayBlocho1wins
2 of 10 to a deciderKolek leads 9–1, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKolek90%9 of 10
AwayBlochon = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kolek10Blocho0n = 10Kolek took 10 of 10
S2Kolek6Blocho4n = 10Kolek took 6 of 10
S3Kolek8Blocho2n = 10Kolek took 8 of 10
S4Kolek2Blocho3n = 5Blocho took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKolekBlochoK − BBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set100+10of 10Avg pointsper match39.130.4+8.7per matchSweeps50+53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolekBlochoBasisWin rate · lifetime723 / 1439 vs 585 / 105950.2%55.2%723 / 1439 vs 585 / 1059Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.037.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KolekKolek 1.53/Blocho 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.2%
Kolek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kolek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 21 · 24:35M. Kolek50118119113P. Blocho4891191182
WSep 20 · 15:45M. Kolek331111113P. Blocho154830
WAug 4 · 06:25M. Kolek4111811113P. Blocho28911261
WJun 9 · 12:40M. Kolek4011711113P. Blocho34811961
WJun 8 · 11:25M. Kolek361114113P. Blocho2141250
WApr 21 · 15:25M. Kolek49111188113P. Blocho3774111142
WApr 21 · 01:25M. Kolek331111113P. Blocho178630
WApr 20 · 22:55M. Kolek391115133P. Blocho32813110
LMar 3 · 02:00M. Kolek351281051P. Blocho44101112113
WMar 2 · 23:35M. Kolek351111133P. Blocho2898110
M. Kolek10
LSep 21 · 18:30M. Kolek2.00812791J. Chmielowski1.73111011113LSep 21 · 17:20M. Kolek1.805690M. Minda1.911111113LSep 21 · 16:05K. Kostyk2.6311111123M. Kolek1.447118101WSep 21 · 15:25M. Kolek2.0011114113J. Mitas1.73951161WSep 21 · 24:35P. Blocho2.5091191182M. Kolek1.50118119113WSep 20 · 22:55B. Sulkowski2.755970M. Kolek1.401111113WSep 20 · 22:10L. Pietraszko1.80135561M. Kolek1.91111111113WSep 20 · 21:25K. Rudomina2.5061141192M. Kolek1.50116116113LSep 20 · 20:05M. Kolek1.408611151B. Sulkowski2.7511117173WSep 20 · 18:30A. Wos1.8397100M. Kolek1.831111123
P. Blocho10
LSep 21 · 18:50K. Kostyk1.91461111143P. Blocho1.80111165122LSep 21 · 18:05P. Blocho2.2539100J. Mitas1.571111123WSep 21 · 16:30P. Blocho1.6712116113M. Minda2.101041171WSep 21 · 15:45J. Chmielowski1.44991181P. Blocho2.6311115113LSep 21 · 14:40A. Sobel1.7671111113P. Blocho1.90115491LSep 21 · 13:30P. Blocho1.888158111B. Czerwinski1.82111311133LSep 21 · 12:15F. Krcil2.2511116113P. Blocho1.55981171LSep 21 · 11:00D. Solilo1.6611712113P. Blocho2.058111041WSep 21 · 09:25M. Zwolinski3.501141051P. Blocho1.2581112113LSep 21 · 24:35P. Blocho2.5091191182M. Kolek1.50118119113
Upcoming Matches
M. Kolek
P. Blocho
Sep 22 · 09:00P. Blocho—D. Solilo——Sep 22 · 10:10P. Blocho—B. Sulkowski——Sep 22 · 11:50P. Blocho—J. Zochniak——Sep 22 · 13:05P. Blocho—A. Sobel——Sep 22 · 14:40P. Blocho—B. Czerwinski——Sep 22 · 15:45P. Blocho—J. Chmielowski——Sep 22 · 16:30P. Blocho—K. Rudomina——Sep 22 · 18:05P. Blocho—J. Mitas——Sep 22 · 18:50P. Blocho—L. Pietraszko——Sep 22 · 19:40P. Blocho—M. Minda——
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