TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Maciej Kolek vs Konrad Staszczyk 3-1 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 21Finished
Maciej Kolek
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
114811117117––
Konrad Staszczyk
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:52 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMaciej Kolek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMaciej Kolek above · Konrad Staszczyk below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 70 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Maciej Kolek at 54.0%
70 points played in total.
H2H Maciej Kolek 5–4 Konrad Staszczyk Konrad Staszczyk has won 4 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:52What took a side0 for · 3 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Staszczyk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-4 in 9
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kolek 1612 vs Staszczyk 1623
Staszczyk
Wrong
both rated, 12 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolek 40% vs Staszczyk 60%
Staszczyk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolek 60% vs Staszczyk 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolek +1 · Staszczyk +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Staszczyk) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolek 2.00 / Staszczyk 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Staszczyk)+0.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13165447
Kolek2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog40% won 179 of 449
Down 0–1, comes back22% 57 of 263
Down 0–2, comes back3% 3 of 120
Staszczyk1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite65% won 171 of 263
Up 2–0, closes it90% 70 of 78
Up 1–0, closes it83% 120 of 145
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeKolek5wins
AwayStaszczyk4wins
5 of 9 to a deciderKolek leads 5–4, and 5 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKolek100%4 of 4
AwayStaszczyk100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kolek4Staszczyk4n = 8split evenly
S2Kolek3Staszczyk5n = 8Staszczyk took 5 of 8
S3Kolek5Staszczyk3n = 8Kolek took 5 of 8
S4Kolek3Staszczyk4n = 7Staszczyk took 4 of 7
S5Kolek3Staszczyk2n = 5Kolek took 3 of 5
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home222%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home333%
2–3Decider, away222%
1–3Four sets, away222%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 9 meetings
MetricKolekStaszczykK − SBasisWins54+1in 9 meetingsFirst set440of 8Avg pointsper match42.841.6+1.2per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolekStaszczykBasisWin rate · lifetime725 / 1442 vs 211 / 36750.3%57.5%725 / 1442 vs 211 / 367Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.038.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StaszczykKolek 2.00/Staszczyk 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Staszczyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kolek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WSep 17 · 21:50M. Kolek411119113K. Staszczyk3591790
LSep 16 · 21:50M. Kolek32761271K. Staszczyk43111110113
LSep 13 · 19:40M. Kolek44611611102K. Staszczyk43115114123
WSep 11 · 13:50M. Kolek46116711113K. Staszczyk3441111442
WJun 28 · 18:30M. Kolek52119911123K. Staszczyk46711117102
LMay 31 · 13:00M. Kolek4871112992K. Staszczyk521191011113
WMay 31 · 04:10M. Kolek46114119113K. Staszczyk3871151142
LMay 21 · 16:55M. Kolek33691171K. Staszczyk4211119113
M. Kolek10
LSep 22 · 24:10J. Mitas1.7311711133M. Kolek2.007118111WSep 21 · 22:55M. Kolek1.8311116113J. Chmielowski1.83991181LSep 21 · 21:00M. Kolek1.409111211102K. Kostyk2.75116145123WSep 21 · 19:40M. Kolek1.5391211113P. Blocho2.381110441LSep 21 · 18:30M. Kolek2.00812791J. Chmielowski1.73111011113LSep 21 · 17:20M. Kolek1.805690M. Minda1.911111113LSep 21 · 16:05K. Kostyk2.6311111123M. Kolek1.447118101WSep 21 · 15:25M. Kolek2.0011114113J. Mitas1.73951161WSep 21 · 24:35P. Blocho2.5091191182M. Kolek1.50118119113WSep 20 · 22:55B. Sulkowski2.755970M. Kolek1.401111113
K. Staszczyk10
WSep 21 · 22:35K. Staszczyk1.5712911123K. Kostyk2.2510118101LSep 21 · 21:50J. Mitas2.001112113K. Staszczyk1.7381050LSep 19 · 24:20B. Sulkowski3.75116711113K. Staszczyk1.2581111552WSep 18 · 23:35M. Woskowicz4.00691181K. Staszczyk1.2211114113WSep 18 · 23:15K. Staszczyk1.2011118113M. Lukaszewski4.33461161LSep 18 · 22:05P. Blocho2.25811812113K. Staszczyk1.57117111002WSep 18 · 21:45K. Staszczyk1.22611611153B. Sulkowski4.00118116132WSep 18 · 20:05K. Staszczyk1.3311116113M. Woskowicz3.25591171WSep 18 · 18:50K. Staszczyk1.17711116113P. Maruszak4.5011591172LSep 18 · 17:20K. Staszczyk2.257920A. Daniel1.571111113
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