TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12330345
Played Jul 30Finished
Michal Moravek
Home
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–2Last 4Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1196111161113119
Jan Pribyl
Away
1.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:47 and never touched — 62.5% is still 62.5%
Graded at full timeJan Pribyl to win
62.5%
62.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMichal Moravek above · Jan Pribyl below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-13
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 98 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Jan Pribyl at 62.5%
98 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:47What took a side1 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Pribyl
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Moravek 50% vs Pribyl 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Moravek 50% vs Pribyl 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Moravek +1 · Pribyl -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Pribyl)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pribyl form (40%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMoravek 2.50 / Pribyl 1.50
Signal prob.38% / 63%
Edge (Pribyl)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #12330345
Moravek2.50
50%won 2 of 4 · last 10
oldest → newest
25%takes the first set · 1 of 4
Pribyl1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite57% won 48 of 84
Up 2–0, closes it96% 27 of 28
Up 1–0, closes it71% 36 of 51
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricMoravekPribylBasisWin rate · lifetime4 / 10 vs 96 / 17340%55.5%4 / 10 vs 96 / 173Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PribylMoravek 2.50/Pribyl 1.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.5%
Pribyl · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Moravek won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
M. Moravek10
WAug 24 · 14:15M. Moravek1.83911115113L. Dzida1.8311861182WJul 30 · 14:45M. Mikolasik1.8312128272M. Moravek1.8310101111113LJul 30 · 14:15D. Jr1.611213113M. Moravek2.20101190WJan 23 · 18:20M. Moravek—1111113R. Benes—9680LApr 4 · 08:55D. Stusek1.8311111113M. Moravek1.83861191LNov 28 · 22:30R. Polasek—3M. Moravek—1LFeb 1 · 14:50O. Sebek—3M. Moravek—1WFeb 1 · 13:20M. Moravek—3J. Jarolim—0LFeb 1 · 12:20M. Moravek—2J. Bencik—3LFeb 1 · 11:20M. Moravek—2O. Sebek—3
J. Pribyl10
WAug 22 · 13:15J. Pribyl1.531011119113D. Vitasek2.3812281132LAug 22 · 12:15K. Kleprlik2.631116113J. Pribyl1.4471460WAug 22 · 11:15J. Pribyl1.671111113D. Vitasek2.108680WAug 22 · 09:45B. Mrowetz2.25381181J. Pribyl1.5711118113LAug 19 · 13:08T. Krenek1.8071111113J. Pribyl1.91117981WAug 19 · 12:15J. Krupnik2.006840J. Pribyl1.731111113LAug 19 · 11:15J. Pribyl1.73411691T. Krenek2.0011711113WAug 19 · 09:45M. Macurak2.2511511672J. Pribyl1.57811911113LAug 6 · 13:15J. Krupnik1.80113119153J. Pribyl1.91711711132WAug 6 · 11:45D. Pawlik2.50711100J. Pribyl1.501113123
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