TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12330296
Played Jul 30Finished
Dalibor Velky Jr
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
12101311119––––
Michal Moravek
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
1–1Last 2Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:50 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDalibor Velky Jr to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDalibor Velky Jr above · Michal Moravek below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 66 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Dalibor Velky Jr at 54.0%
66 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:50What took a side1 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Jr
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Jr 40% vs Moravek 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jr 30% vs Moravek 50%
Moravek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jr +1 · Moravek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Jr) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jr form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJr 1.61 / Moravek 2.20
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Jr)+0.0pp
TT Cup · #12330296
Jr1.61
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite44% won 57 of 131
Up 2–0, closes it80% 24 of 30
Up 1–0, closes it59% 41 of 69
Moravek2.20
50%won 1 of 2 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 1 of 2
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricJrMoravekBasisWin rate · lifetime187 / 373 vs 3 / 1050.1%30%187 / 373 vs 3 / 10Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JrJr 1.61/Moravek 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.7%
Jr · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Jr won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
D. Jr10
WSep 8 · 12:35T. Kindl1.67791351D. Jr2.10111111113LSep 8 · 12:10D. Jr2.254990T. Kindl1.571111113LSep 8 · 10:40J. Skvrna1.571141111113D. Jr2.2561191362LSep 8 · 10:10T. Krenek1.611211113D. Jr2.2010890LSep 8 · 08:38D. Jr1.91815120T. Krenek1.801117143WSep 8 · 08:10T. Krenek1.61316671D. Jr2.20111411113LSep 8 · 07:10D. Jr2.63714991J. Gembala1.44111211113LSep 8 · 05:40M. Macurak1.5091111113D. Jr2.50116861WSep 7 · 12:40R. Benes1.8087100D. Jr1.911111123LSep 7 · 12:10R. Benes1.9111611113D. Jr1.80711681
M. Moravek10
WAug 24 · 14:15M. Moravek1.83911115113L. Dzida1.8311861182WJul 30 · 16:15M. Moravek2.501161111113J. Pribyl1.5091161392WJul 30 · 14:45M. Mikolasik1.8312128272M. Moravek1.8310101111113WJan 23 · 18:20M. Moravek—1111113R. Benes—9680LApr 4 · 08:55D. Stusek1.8311111113M. Moravek1.83861191LNov 28 · 22:30R. Polasek—3M. Moravek—1LFeb 1 · 14:50O. Sebek—3M. Moravek—1WFeb 1 · 13:20M. Moravek—3J. Jarolim—0LFeb 1 · 12:20M. Moravek—2J. Bencik—3LFeb 1 · 11:20M. Moravek—2O. Sebek—3
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