TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12306398
Played Jul 26Finished
Jaroslaw Ubik
Home
1.71
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119115118––––
Szymon Toborek
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:59 and never touched — 58.2% is still 58.2%
Graded at full timeSzymon Toborek to win
58.2%
58.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
55 points played in total.
Set by set
119115118––––
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:59What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.71 (54%)
Ubik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Ubik 1358 vs Toborek 1311
Ubik
Correct
both rated, 47 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ubik 40% vs Toborek 60%
Toborek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ubik 30% vs Toborek 50%
Toborek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Ubik +1 · Toborek +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Ubik) · live re-read · sealed at 42% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ubik form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsUbik 1.71 / Toborek 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Ubik)+0.1pp
TT Cup · #12306398
Ubik1.71
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Toborek2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog36% won 4 of 11
Down 0–1, comes back36% 4 of 11
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 5
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricUbikToborekBasisWin rate · lifetime10 / 39 vs 15 / 4325.6%34.9%10 / 39 vs 15 / 43Avg sets wonper match1.31.6per matchAvg pointsper match32.635.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
Forecastthe model predicts this market
Match Winner
UbikUbik 1.71/Toborek 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Ubik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Ubik won
Handicap · Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
J. Ubik10
LAug 11 · 13:30K. Patryk1.25111110113J. Ubik3.30851251WAug 11 · 11:00W. Arkadiusz1.447970J. Ubik2.471111113WAug 11 · 10:00J. Ubik2.151313113J. Komorowicz1.62111180WAug 11 · 09:00J. Ubik2.1011611113P. Kamil1.66611951LAug 11 · 07:30J. Ubik2.348610P. Odelski1.491111113LAug 11 · 05:30J. Ubik2.23912871K. Patryk1.53111011113LAug 10 · 22:10W. Arkadiusz1.611111113J. Ubik2.208990WAug 10 · 21:00K. Patryk1.75511651J. Ubik1.9511911113LAug 10 · 19:30J. Ubik1.90671181P. Kamil1.8011119113LAug 10 · 17:30W. Arkadiusz1.5311611113J. Ubik2.35611351
S. Toborek10
WJul 26 · 22:35S. Toborek—711117113J. Komorowicz—11681182LJul 26 · 21:35L. Buklat1.351111113S. Toborek2.758590WJul 26 · 19:05J. Komorowicz1.71811771S. Toborek2.0011911113WJul 11 · 23:15W. Arkadiusz1.42111071372S. Toborek2.654121111113LJul 11 · 21:35W. Arkadiusz1.5911114113S. Toborek2.13961191LJul 11 · 20:35K. Patryk1.3411711113S. Toborek2.85211741WJul 11 · 19:05L. Buklat1.521261061S. Toborek2.25101112113WJul 11 · 16:35K. Kos1.4711491162S. Toborek2.39911114113LJul 11 · 15:05J. Komorowicz1.631111113S. Toborek2.069980LJul 6 · 22:40P. Kamil—1111113S. Toborek—9870
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