TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12211040
Played Jul 11Finished
Wiekiera Arkadiusz
Home
1.42
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
11410127111311711
Szymon Toborek
Away
2.65
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
97 points played in total.
Set by set
11410127111311711
H2H Wiekiera Arkadiusz 3–3 Szymon Toborek Dead even across their 6 meetings.
Last 6 · 3–3Head to head
Signal confidence: 72% — Strong (leans Arkadiusz)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Arkadiusz form (60%) is below what odds imply (70%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsArkadiusz 1.42 / Toborek 2.65
Signal prob.72% / 28%
Edge (Arkadiusz)+7.0pp
TT Cup · #12211040
Arkadiusz1.42
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite55% won 146 of 267
Up 2–0, closes it91% 59 of 65
Up 1–0, closes it68% 98 of 144
Toborek2.65
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeArkadiusz3wins
AwayToborek3wins
2 of 6 to a deciderLevel at 3–3, and 2 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeArkadiusz60%3 of 5
AwayToborekn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Arkadiusz5Toborek1n = 6Arkadiusz took 5 of 6
S2Arkadiusz1Toborek5n = 6Toborek took 5 of 6
S3Arkadiusz4Toborek2n = 6Arkadiusz took 4 of 6
S4Arkadiusz4Toborek2n = 6Arkadiusz took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home350%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away233%
1–3Four sets, away117%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricArkadiuszToborekA − TBasisWins330in 6 meetingsFirst set51+4of 6Avg pointsper match42.739.8+2.9per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricArkadiuszToborekBasisWin rate · lifetime536 / 939 vs 13 / 4157.1%31.7%536 / 939 vs 13 / 41Avg sets wonper match2.31.5per matchAvg pointsper match41.334.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ArkadiuszArkadiusz 1.42/Toborek 2.65
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
72.1%
Arkadiusz · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Toborek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WJul 11 · 21:35W. Arkadiusz—11114113S. Toborek—961191
LJul 6 · 19:30W. Arkadiusz—981271S. Toborek—111110113
LJul 4 · 12:35W. Arkadiusz—11911792S. Toborek—611811113
WJun 29 · 20:00W. Arkadiusz—111011113S. Toborek—812391
LJun 14 · 18:35W. Arkadiusz—118911112S. Toborek—811119133
WJun 6 · 07:05W. Arkadiusz—111011113S. Toborek—212881
W. Arkadiusz10
WSep 7 · 19:30K. Kos1.7079110W. Arkadiusz1.951111133WSep 7 · 18:00W. Dariusz—912761W. Arkadiusz—111011113WSep 7 · 15:30L. Buklat1.8369100W. Arkadiusz1.831111123LSep 7 · 14:00K. Patryk1.601091711113W. Arkadiusz2.10121115892LSep 2 · 22:40P. Odelski1.591111113W. Arkadiusz2.138890LSep 2 · 20:30P. Odelski1.6414711113W. Arkadiusz2.031211781WSep 2 · 19:30K. Patryk1.5781170W. Arkadiusz2.171113113WSep 2 · 18:00J. Komorowicz2.5512811982W. Arkadiusz1.421011911113WSep 2 · 15:30L. Buklat1.886811111W. Arkadiusz1.8211119133LSep 2 · 14:00P. Kamil1.9016911113W. Arkadiusz1.801411471
S. Toborek10
WJul 26 · 22:35S. Toborek—711117113J. Komorowicz—11681182LJul 26 · 21:35L. Buklat1.351111113S. Toborek2.758590LJul 26 · 20:35J. Ubik1.711111113S. Toborek2.009580WJul 26 · 19:05J. Komorowicz1.71811771S. Toborek2.0011911113LJul 11 · 21:35W. Arkadiusz1.5911114113S. Toborek2.13961191LJul 11 · 20:35K. Patryk1.3411711113S. Toborek2.85211741WJul 11 · 19:05L. Buklat1.521261061S. Toborek2.25101112113WJul 11 · 16:35K. Kos1.4711491162S. Toborek2.39911114113LJul 11 · 15:05J. Komorowicz1.631111113S. Toborek2.069980LJul 6 · 22:40P. Kamil—1111113S. Toborek—9870
Upcoming Matches
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