TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12306282
Played Jul 26Finished
Jakub Komorowicz
Home
1.71
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
811119711711––
Szymon Toborek
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:09 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJakub Komorowicz to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
75 points played in total.
Set by set
811119711711––
H2H Jakub Komorowicz 6–2 Szymon Toborek Szymon Toborek has won 2 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:09What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.71 (54%)
Komorowicz
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-2 in 8
Komorowicz
Wrong
gap of 4 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Komorowicz 1344 vs Toborek 1290
Komorowicz
Wrong
both rated, 54 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Komorowicz 20% vs Toborek 60%
Toborek
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Komorowicz 40% vs Toborek 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Komorowicz -3 · Toborek +1
Komorowicz
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Komorowicz) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Komorowicz form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKomorowicz 1.71 / Toborek 2.00
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Komorowicz)+3.0pp
TT Cup · #12306282
Komorowicz1.71
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite70% won 52 of 74
Up 2–0, closes it100% 25 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it97% 36 of 37
Toborek2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog36% won 4 of 11
Down 0–1, comes back36% 4 of 11
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 5
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeKomorowicz6wins
AwayToborek2wins
4 of 8 to a deciderKomorowicz leads 6–2, and 4 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKomorowicz85.7%6 of 7
AwayToborekn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Komorowicz7Toborek1n = 8Komorowicz took 7 of 8
S2Komorowicz5Toborek3n = 8Komorowicz took 5 of 8
S3Komorowicz2Toborek6n = 8Toborek took 6 of 8
S4Komorowicz3Toborek2n = 5Komorowicz took 3 of 5
S5Komorowicz3Toborek1n = 4Komorowicz took 3 of 4
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home225%
3–1Four sets, home113%
3–2Decider, home338%
2–3Decider, away113%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away113%
These 8 meetings
MetricKomorowiczToborekK − TBasisWins62+4in 8 meetingsFirst set71+6of 8Avg pointsper match41.835.8+6.0per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKomorowiczToborekBasisWin rate · lifetime178 / 381 vs 14 / 4246.7%33.3%178 / 381 vs 14 / 42Avg sets wonper match2.01.6per matchAvg pointsper match39.435.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KomorowiczKomorowicz 1.71/Toborek 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.9%
Komorowicz · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Toborek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WJul 11 · 15:05J. Komorowicz—1111113S. Toborek—9980
WJul 4 · 13:45J. Komorowicz—1271011113S. Toborek—101112662
LJul 4 · 11:35J. Komorowicz—10880S. Toborek—1211113
WJun 29 · 18:00J. Komorowicz—111379113S. Toborek—311111162
WJun 22 · 19:30J. Komorowicz—1111113S. Toborek—9590
WJun 14 · 15:35J. Komorowicz—11119113S. Toborek—581191
WJun 6 · 13:35J. Komorowicz—111188123S. Toborek—251111102
LJun 6 · 06:35J. Komorowicz—111091172S. Toborek—212118113
J. Komorowicz10
WSep 2 · 21:40P. Kamil1.6311811892J. Komorowicz2.15811811113LSep 2 · 20:00P. Kamil1.78111110113J. Komorowicz1.91671291LSep 2 · 19:00J. Komorowicz2.439111041L. Buklat1.4511912113LSep 2 · 18:00J. Komorowicz2.5512811982W. Arkadiusz1.421011911113LSep 2 · 16:30J. Komorowicz2.22811651P. Odelski1.5411811113LSep 2 · 14:30J. Komorowicz2.9512116542K. Patryk1.361091111113WSep 1 · 22:30J. Komorowicz3.30811126133K. Patryk1.291191011112WSep 1 · 21:00J. Komorowicz2.901111133K. Patryk1.3399110LSep 1 · 19:00K. Kos1.611111123J. Komorowicz2.0985100LSep 1 · 17:00F. Baranski2.11711116113J. Komorowicz1.6011991182
S. Toborek10
WJul 26 · 22:35S. Toborek—711117113J. Komorowicz—11681182LJul 26 · 21:35L. Buklat1.351111113S. Toborek2.758590LJul 26 · 20:35J. Ubik1.711111113S. Toborek2.009580WJul 11 · 23:15W. Arkadiusz1.42111071372S. Toborek2.654121111113LJul 11 · 21:35W. Arkadiusz1.5911114113S. Toborek2.13961191LJul 11 · 20:35K. Patryk1.3411711113S. Toborek2.85211741WJul 11 · 19:05L. Buklat1.521261061S. Toborek2.25101112113WJul 11 · 16:35K. Kos1.4711491162S. Toborek2.39911114113LJul 11 · 15:05J. Komorowicz1.631111113S. Toborek2.069980LJul 6 · 22:40P. Kamil—1111113S. Toborek—9870
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