TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12306905
Played Jul 26Finished
Lukasz Buklat
Home
1.35
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118115119––––
Szymon Toborek
Away
2.75
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:17 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeLukasz Buklat to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
55 points played in total.
Set by set
118115119––––
H2H Lukasz Buklat 2–2 Szymon Toborek Dead even across their 4 meetings.
Last 4 · 2–2Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:17What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.35 (67%)
Buklat
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-2 in 4
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Buklat 1522 vs Toborek 1293
Buklat
Correct
both rated, 228 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Buklat 60% vs Toborek 40%
Buklat
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Buklat 60% vs Toborek 40%
Buklat
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Buklat -2 · Toborek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 74% — Strong (leans Buklat) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Buklat form (60%) is below what odds imply (74%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBuklat 1.35 / Toborek 2.75
Signal prob.74% / 26%
Edge (Buklat)+7.0pp
TT Cup · #12306905
Buklat1.35
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite64% won 44 of 69
Up 2–0, closes it100% 21 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it84% 31 of 37
Toborek2.75
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog36% won 4 of 11
Down 0–1, comes back36% 4 of 11
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 5
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeBuklat2wins
AwayToborek2wins
Level at 2–2.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBuklat66.7%2 of 3
AwayToborekn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Buklat3Toborek1n = 4Buklat took 3 of 4
S2Buklat3Toborek1n = 4Buklat took 3 of 4
S3Buklat1Toborek3n = 4Toborek took 3 of 4
S4Buklat1Toborek2n = 3Toborek took 2 of 3
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away250%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricBuklatToborekB − TBasisWins220in 4 meetingsFirst set31+2of 4Avg pointsper match35.835.80.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBuklatToborekBasisWin rate · lifetime252 / 432 vs 15 / 4458.3%34.1%252 / 432 vs 15 / 44Avg sets wonper match2.21.6per matchAvg pointsper match39.634.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BuklatBuklat 1.35/Toborek 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
74.1%
Buklat · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Buklat won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LJul 11 · 19:05L. Buklat—1261061S. Toborek—101112113
LJul 6 · 14:00L. Buklat—611791S. Toborek—11711113
WJul 4 · 06:05L. Buklat—11128113S. Toborek—6101181
WJun 22 · 20:30L. Buklat—1211113S. Toborek—10590
L. Buklat10
WSep 7 · 19:00W. Dariusz1.9011881442L. Buklat1.828111112113LSep 7 · 17:00K. Patryk1.5711118113L. Buklat2.25891171LSep 7 · 16:00P. Odelski1.7311711113L. Buklat1.92911831LSep 7 · 15:30L. Buklat1.8369100W. Arkadiusz1.831111123LSep 2 · 22:10L. Buklat2.1599110K. Patryk1.611111133WSep 2 · 21:00L. Buklat2.1581311133K. Patryk1.5811116111WSep 2 · 19:00J. Komorowicz2.439111041L. Buklat1.4511912113WSep 2 · 17:00P. Kamil1.80119661L. Buklat1.9161111113LSep 2 · 16:00P. Odelski1.7711118143L. Buklat1.938611121LSep 2 · 15:30L. Buklat1.886811111W. Arkadiusz1.8211119133
S. Toborek10
WJul 26 · 22:35S. Toborek—711117113J. Komorowicz—11681182LJul 26 · 20:35J. Ubik1.711111113S. Toborek2.009580WJul 26 · 19:05J. Komorowicz1.71811771S. Toborek2.0011911113WJul 11 · 23:15W. Arkadiusz1.42111071372S. Toborek2.654121111113LJul 11 · 21:35W. Arkadiusz1.5911114113S. Toborek2.13961191LJul 11 · 20:35K. Patryk1.3411711113S. Toborek2.85211741WJul 11 · 19:05L. Buklat1.521261061S. Toborek2.25101112113WJul 11 · 16:35K. Kos1.4711491162S. Toborek2.39911114113LJul 11 · 15:05J. Komorowicz1.631111113S. Toborek2.069980LJul 6 · 22:40P. Kamil—1111113S. Toborek—9870
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