TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #12276090
Played Jul 21Finished
Daniele Pinto
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
11481113111012117
Matthias Danzer
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 4
How it is goingDaniele Pinto above · Matthias Danzer below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 13-11
Set 4 · 10-12
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 98 set 5, 11-7
98 points played in total.
H2H Daniele Pinto 1–0 Matthias Danzer Matthias Danzer has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Pinto)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Danzer form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPinto 1.61 / Danzer 2.20
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Pinto)+0.0pp
Challenger Series TT · #12276090
Pinto1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Danzer2.20
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomePinto1wins
AwayDanzer0wins
Pinto leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricPintoDanzerP − DBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match33.019.0+14.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPintoDanzerBasisWin rate · lifetime5 / 7 vs 192 / 25671.4%75%5 / 7 vs 192 / 256Avg sets wonper match2.32.5per matchAvg pointsper match32.737.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PintoPinto 1.61/Danzer 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.7%
Pinto · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Pinto won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WJul 21 · 07:30D. Pinto—1111113M. Danzer—3790
D. Pinto10
LAug 25 · 08:35D. Pinto—11911892C. Pletea—411711113LAug 24 · 14:00D. Pinto1.22711681N. Callaba4.0011711113LJul 21 · 11:15D. Rinderer1.831251011113D. Pinto1.83101112292WJul 21 · 07:30D. Pinto2.751111113M. Danzer1.403790LJul 20 · 16:30D. Pinto1.119580M. Fuchs6.001111113WJul 20 · 14:30D. Pinto1.671111113A. Mino2.109860LJul 20 · 12:30F. Bluhm1.44111112113D. Pinto2.63691431WJul 20 · 10:30A. Moreno6.006650D. Pinto1.111111113WJul 20 · 09:00D. Pinto—115115113M. Stefanidis—11151122WJul 20 · 07:30D. Pinto2.501111113D. Rinderer1.509670
M. Danzer10
LAug 25 · 11:00V. Yefimov1.46128711113M. Danzer2.55101111762WAug 25 · 09:45M. Danzer1.1812117113E. Huzsvar4.051071161WAug 25 · 07:30M. Henninger6.5011311692M. Danzer1.10911911113LAug 24 · 17:30M. Danzer1.8313781112V. Yefimov1.831111117113WAug 24 · 16:00A. Moreno8.506650M. Danzer1.051111113WAug 24 · 14:00P. Koloidenko8.001111181M. Danzer1.0611139113WAug 24 · 12:00M. Danzer—11117113E. Huzsvar—481191WAug 24 · 09:30M. Danzer1.031111113M. Kupfer10.004860WAug 24 · 08:00M. Danzer1.041111113J. Willeke8.107860LJul 21 · 07:30D. Pinto2.751111113M. Danzer1.403790
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