TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #12265525
Played Jul 20Finished
Daniele Pinto
Home
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119116117––––
Daniel Rinderer
Away
1.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingDaniele Pinto above · Daniel Rinderer below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 55 set 3, 11-7
55 points played in total.
H2H Daniele Pinto 1–1 Daniel Rinderer Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Rinderer)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPinto 2.50 / Rinderer 1.50
Signal prob.38% / 63%
Edge (Rinderer)+0.0pp
Challenger Series TT · #12265525
Pinto2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
75%takes the first set · 3 of 4
Rinderer1.50
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomePinto1wins
AwayRinderer1wins
1 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricPintoRindererP − RBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match38.535.5+3.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPintoRindererBasisWin rate · lifetime6 / 9 vs 110 / 15866.7%69.6%6 / 9 vs 110 / 158Avg sets wonper match2.32.4per matchAvg pointsper match36.237.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RindererPinto 2.50/Rinderer 1.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.5%
Rinderer · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Pinto won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LJul 21 · 11:15D. Pinto—101112292D. Rinderer—1251011113
WJul 20 · 07:30D. Pinto—1111113D. Rinderer—9670
D. Pinto10
LAug 25 · 08:35D. Pinto—11911892C. Pletea—411711113LAug 24 · 14:00D. Pinto1.22711681N. Callaba4.0011711113LJul 21 · 11:15D. Rinderer1.831251011113D. Pinto1.83101112292WJul 21 · 09:44D. Pinto1.611181310113M. Danzer2.20411111272WJul 21 · 07:30D. Pinto2.751111113M. Danzer1.403790LJul 20 · 16:30D. Pinto1.119580M. Fuchs6.001111113WJul 20 · 14:30D. Pinto1.671111113A. Mino2.109860LJul 20 · 12:30F. Bluhm1.44111112113D. Pinto2.63691431WJul 20 · 10:30A. Moreno6.006650D. Pinto1.111111113WJul 20 · 09:00D. Pinto—115115113M. Stefanidis—11151122
D. Rinderer10
WAug 21 · 10:30D. Rinderer1.37111210113S. Almeida2.854101261LAug 21 · 09:10M. Danzer1.301112173D. Rinderer3.10610150WAug 21 · 07:50E. Huzsvar1.191114101142D. Rinderer4.40316128113LAug 21 · 07:00D. Rinderer1.1611129872N. Kizakisz4.454101111113WAug 20 · 15:30A. Moreno15.009510D. Rinderer1.011111113LAug 20 · 13:30M. Danzer1.731111113D. Rinderer2.006890WAug 20 · 12:00L. Qiu3.406530D. Rinderer1.301111113WAug 20 · 09:00D. Zech11.006430D. Rinderer1.021111113LAug 20 · 07:00S. Almeida3.60811711123D. Rinderer1.25117115102WJul 21 · 11:15D. Rinderer1.831251011113D. Pinto1.83101112292
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