TT Lossbeater/Challenger Series TT
Challenger Series TTMatch #12265508
Played Jul 20Finished
Daniele Pinto
Home
1.11
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911511811––––
Michael Fuchs
Away
6.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:03 and never touched — 84.4% is still 84.4%
Graded at full timeDaniele Pinto to win
84.4%
84.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingDaniele Pinto above · Michael Fuchs below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 55 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Daniele Pinto at 84.4%
55 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:03What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.11 (84%)
Pinto
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Pinto 1946 vs Fuchs 1416
Pinto
Wrong
both rated, 530 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pinto 80% vs Fuchs 20%
Pinto
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pinto 60% vs Fuchs 30%
Pinto
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Pinto +1 · Fuchs +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 84% — Strong (leans Pinto)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pinto form (80%) is below what odds imply (90%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPinto 1.11 / Fuchs 6.00
Signal prob.84% / 16%
Edge (Pinto)+0.0pp
Challenger Series TT · #12265508
Pinto1.11
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
78%takes the first set · 7 of 9
Fuchs6.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricPintoFuchsBasisWin rate · lifetime4 / 5 vs 6 / 1980%31.6%4 / 5 vs 6 / 19Avg sets wonper match2.61.8per matchAvg pointsper match34.837.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
Forecastthe model predicts this market
Match Winner
PintoPinto 1.11/Fuchs 6.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
84.4%
Pinto · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Fuchs won
Handicap · Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
D. Pinto10
LAug 25 · 08:35D. Pinto—11911892C. Pletea—411711113LAug 24 · 14:00D. Pinto1.22711681N. Callaba4.0011711113LJul 21 · 11:15D. Rinderer1.831251011113D. Pinto1.83101112292WJul 21 · 09:44D. Pinto1.611181310113M. Danzer2.20411111272WJul 21 · 07:30D. Pinto2.751111113M. Danzer1.403790WJul 20 · 14:30D. Pinto1.671111113A. Mino2.109860LJul 20 · 12:30F. Bluhm1.44111112113D. Pinto2.63691431WJul 20 · 10:30A. Moreno6.006650D. Pinto1.111111113WJul 20 · 09:00D. Pinto—115115113M. Stefanidis—11151122WJul 20 · 07:30D. Pinto2.501111113D. Rinderer1.509670
M. Fuchs10
LJul 28 · 10:35M. Fuchs1.7037100K. Zimmermann2.001111123LJul 28 · 09:15O. Kosolosky—3M. Fuchs—0LJul 28 · 07:00K. Fadeev1.111191011113M. Fuchs6.0051112842LJul 27 · 17:30J. Loffler1.22111111113M. Fuchs3.75571381WJul 27 · 14:30N. Kizakisz—5450M. Fuchs—1111113LJul 27 · 13:00O. Kosolosky1.07111110113M. Fuchs7.50261261WJul 27 · 11:00S. Happek2.25681141M. Fuchs1.5711118113WJul 27 · 10:00K. Moosmann2.20911126122M. Fuchs1.611171011143LJul 27 · 06:30K. Zimmermann2.001212113M. Fuchs1.73101020LJul 27 · 06:30K. Zimmermann1.961212113M. Fuchs1.70101020
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