TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup WomenMatch #12210467
Played Jul 12Finished
Nadiia Harmash
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
11612141158111012
Polina Pashchenko
Away
1.44
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingNadiia Harmash above · Polina Pashchenko below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 12-14
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 10-12
Point 100 set 5, 10-12
100 points played in total.
H2H Nadiia Harmash 4–3 Polina Pashchenko Polina Pashchenko has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
Signal confidence: 71% — Strong (leans Pashchenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pashchenko form (40%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHarmash 2.63 / Pashchenko 1.44
Signal prob.30% / 71%
Edge (Pashchenko)+6.0pp
Setka Cup Women · #12210467
Harmash2.63
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Pashchenko1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeHarmash4wins
AwayPashchenko3wins
4 of 7 to a deciderHarmash leads 4–3, and 4 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHarmash75%3 of 4
AwayPashchenko66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Harmash4Pashchenko3n = 7Harmash took 4 of 7
S2Harmash1Pashchenko6n = 7Pashchenko took 6 of 7
S3Harmash3Pashchenko4n = 7Pashchenko took 4 of 7
S4Harmash4Pashchenko2n = 6Harmash took 4 of 6
S5Harmash3Pashchenko1n = 4Harmash took 3 of 4
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home114%
3–2Decider, home343%
2–3Decider, away114%
1–3Four sets, away114%
0–3Straight, away114%
These 7 meetings
MetricHarmashPashchenkoH − PBasisWins43+1in 7 meetingsFirst set43+1of 7Avg pointsper match40.341.7−1.4per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHarmashPashchenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime101 / 309 vs 41 / 7432.7%55.4%101 / 309 vs 41 / 74Avg sets wonper match1.52.2per matchAvg pointsper match34.237.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PashchenkoHarmash 2.63/Pashchenko 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
70.5%
Pashchenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Pashchenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LJul 12 · 07:35N. Harmash—1112118102P. Pashchenko—614511123
WJul 10 · 12:00N. Harmash—1110711113P. Pashchenko—61211572
LJul 7 · 09:05N. Harmash—611731P. Pashchenko—11911113
WJul 2 · 05:30N. Harmash—541211123P. Pashchenko—1111108102
WJun 26 · 09:54N. Harmash—115811113P. Pashchenko—61111762
WJun 26 · 04:30N. Harmash—111211113P. Pashchenko—814781
LJun 23 · 09:05N. Harmash—4860P. Pashchenko—1111113
N. Harmash10
LAug 11 · 09:05N. Harmash2.007490A. Plashchynska1.731111113LAug 11 · 08:05A. Rzhevska1.221411113N. Harmash4.0012620WAug 11 · 07:05S. Yureneva1.20126110N. Harmash4.331411133LJul 15 · 15:40U. Dronova1.221111113N. Harmash4.003850LJul 15 · 13:40Y. Mykhailyk1.50715712143N. Harmash2.5011131110122LJul 15 · 11:40A. Plashchynska2.001112133N. Harmash1.73610110WJul 12 · 10:08N. Harmash1.537111111113O. Melnik2.3811513822WJul 12 · 08:35O. Melnik1.83412991N. Harmash1.83111011113LJul 12 · 06:35S. Yureneva1.221111113N. Harmash4.006920LJul 12 · 05:35N. Harmash2.6371171182Y. Mykhailyk1.44119118113
P. Pashchenko10
LSep 1 · 11:00Y. Mykhailyk1.8011411113P. Pashchenko1.91811781WSep 1 · 10:00A. Plashchynska6.004390P. Pashchenko1.111111113WSep 1 · 08:30V. Kurtenko1.73111113552P. Pashchenko2.00481511113WSep 1 · 06:30S. Yureneva1.44111141042P. Pashchenko2.63641112113WSep 1 · 04:30A. Rzhevska1.738480P. Pashchenko2.001111113WAug 21 · 10:14P. Pashchenko2.2511119113Y. Mykhailyk1.57461141LAug 21 · 08:30A. Rzhevska1.9171111113P. Pashchenko1.80117291LAug 21 · 07:00S. Yureneva1.531111113P. Pashchenko2.383770LAug 21 · 05:30Y. Mykhailyk1.5711118113P. Pashchenko2.25591131WAug 21 · 04:30U. Dronova1.576131171P. Pashchenko2.2511157113
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