TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup WomenMatch #12398917
Played Aug 11Finished
Anna Rzhevska
Home
1.22
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1412116112––––
Nadiia Harmash
Away
4.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:32 and never touched — 84.1% is still 84.1%
Graded at full timeAnna Rzhevska to win
84.1%
84.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAnna Rzhevska above · Nadiia Harmash below
Set 1 · 14-12
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-2
Point 56 set 3, 11-2 — our read held Anna Rzhevska at 84.1%
56 points played in total.
H2H Anna Rzhevska 18–9 Nadiia Harmash Nadiia Harmash has won 9 of their 27 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:32What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.22 (77%)
Rzhevska
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
18-9 in 27
Rzhevska
Correct
gap of 9 in 27, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Rzhevska 1482 vs Harmash 1236
Rzhevska
Correct
both rated, 246 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rzhevska 60% vs Harmash 20%
Rzhevska
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rzhevska 40% vs Harmash 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Rzhevska +3 · Harmash +1
Rzhevska
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 81% — Strong (leans Rzhevska) · live re-read · sealed at 84% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rzhevska form (60%) is below what odds imply (82%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRzhevska 1.22 / Harmash 4.00
Signal prob.81% / 19%
Edge (Rzhevska)+4.0pp
Setka Cup Women · #12398917
Rzhevska1.22
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Harmash4.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRzhevska5wins
AwayHarmash5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRzhevska62.5%5 of 8
AwayHarmashn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rzhevska8Harmash2n = 10Rzhevska took 8 of 10
S2Rzhevska6Harmash4n = 10Rzhevska took 6 of 10
S3Rzhevska6Harmash4n = 10Rzhevska took 6 of 10
S4Rzhevska0Harmash5n = 5Harmash took 5 of 5
S5Rzhevska1Harmash2n = 3Harmash took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricRzhevskaHarmashR − HBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match37.833.6+4.2per matchSweeps41+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRzhevskaHarmashBasisWin rate · lifetime139 / 253 vs 100 / 30654.9%32.7%139 / 253 vs 100 / 306Avg sets wonper match2.11.5per matchAvg pointsper match37.534.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RzhevskaRzhevska 1.22/Harmash 4.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
80.6%
Rzhevska · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Rzhevska won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 11 · 08:05A. Rzhevska—1411113N. Harmash—12620
LJun 26 · 06:00A. Rzhevska—141111582N. Harmash—1213911113
WApr 5 · 14:40A. Rzhevska—1111113N. Harmash—8390
WApr 2 · 07:05A. Rzhevska—119117113N. Harmash—61191162
LJan 29 · 08:35A. Rzhevska—6790N. Harmash—1111113
LJan 15 · 11:00A. Rzhevska—9111081N. Harmash—11512113
WDec 24 · 13:40A. Rzhevska—1111113N. Harmash—8790
WSep 7 · 11:10A. Rzhevska—1111113N. Harmash—0470
LAug 11 · 05:50A. Rzhevska—1181181N. Harmash—51113113
LAug 10 · 20:50A. Rzhevska—11118982N. Harmash—981111113
A. Rzhevska10
WSep 6 · 16:09Y. Mykhailyk2.201011751A. Rzhevska1.6112211113WSep 6 · 15:10O. Melnik6.00111351A. Rzhevska1.1111811113LSep 6 · 13:40A. Rzhevska1.50811481Y. Mykhailyk2.5011211113WSep 6 · 12:10A. Rzhevska1.28911511113O. Kolbasenko3.5011211392WSep 6 · 10:40A. Rzhevska1.051211113A. Plashchynska8.5010560LSep 1 · 10:30A. Rzhevska1.28109100V. Kurtenko3.501211123WSep 1 · 09:00A. Rzhevska1.50119114113Y. Mykhailyk2.5071141192LSep 1 · 07:30A. Rzhevska2.205860S. Yureneva1.611111113WSep 1 · 06:00A. Rzhevska1.061111113A. Plashchynska8.007630LSep 1 · 04:30A. Rzhevska1.738480P. Pashchenko2.001111113
N. Harmash10
LAug 11 · 09:05N. Harmash2.007490A. Plashchynska1.731111113WAug 11 · 07:05S. Yureneva1.20126110N. Harmash4.331411133LJul 15 · 15:40U. Dronova1.221111113N. Harmash4.003850LJul 15 · 13:40Y. Mykhailyk1.50715712143N. Harmash2.5011131110122LJul 15 · 11:40A. Plashchynska2.001112133N. Harmash1.73610110WJul 12 · 10:08N. Harmash1.537111111113O. Melnik2.3811513822WJul 12 · 08:35O. Melnik1.83412991N. Harmash1.83111011113LJul 12 · 07:35N. Harmash2.631112118102P. Pashchenko1.44614511123LJul 12 · 06:35S. Yureneva1.221111113N. Harmash4.006920LJul 12 · 05:35N. Harmash2.6371171182Y. Mykhailyk1.44119118113
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