TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup WomenMatch #12398904
Played Aug 11Finished
Nadiia Harmash
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711411911––––
Anhelina Plashchynska
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 10Form at publish
0–10Last 10Lost last 10
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:32 and never touched — 54.7% is still 54.7%
Graded at full timeAnhelina Plashchynska to win
54.7%
54.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingNadiia Harmash above · Anhelina Plashchynska below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 53 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Anhelina Plashchynska at 54.7%
53 points played in total.
H2H Nadiia Harmash 16–14 Anhelina Plashchynska Anhelina Plashchynska has won 14 of their 30 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:32What took a side2 for · 4 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Plashchynska
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
16-14 in 30
Harmash
Wrong
gap of 2 in 30, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Harmash 1236 vs Plashchynska 1206
Harmash
Wrong
both rated, 30 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Harmash 20% vs Plashchynska 0%
Harmash
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Harmash 30% vs Plashchynska 0%
Harmash
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Harmash -1 · Plashchynska -5
Plashchynska
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Plashchynska)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Plashchynska form (0%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHarmash 2.00 / Plashchynska 1.73
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Plashchynska)+1.0pp
Setka Cup Women · #12398904
Harmash2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Plashchynska1.73
0%won 0 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 10
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHarmash5wins
AwayPlashchynska5wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHarmash100%4 of 4
AwayPlashchynska83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Harmash4Plashchynska6n = 10Plashchynska took 6 of 10
S2Harmash5Plashchynska5n = 10split evenly
S3Harmash5Plashchynska5n = 10split evenly
S4Harmash3Plashchynska0n = 3Harmash took 3 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricHarmashPlashchynskaH − PBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match32.131.5+0.6per matchSweeps34−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHarmashPlashchynskaBasisWin rate · lifetime100 / 306 vs 84 / 28032.7%30%100 / 306 vs 84 / 280Avg sets wonper match1.51.4per matchAvg pointsper match34.432.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PlashchynskaHarmash 2.00/Plashchynska 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.7%
Plashchynska · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Plashchynska won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 15 · 11:40N. Harmash—610110A. Plashchynska—1112133
WJul 10 · 13:30N. Harmash—1111113A. Plashchynska—9690
LJul 7 · 08:05N. Harmash—9580A. Plashchynska—1111113
LJul 5 · 05:05N. Harmash—61090A. Plashchynska—1112113
LJul 2 · 06:30N. Harmash—93100A. Plashchynska—1111123
WJun 16 · 10:05N. Harmash—1111113A. Plashchynska—9480
WJun 16 · 05:35N. Harmash—1112113A. Plashchynska—71070
WMay 8 · 06:35N. Harmash—111111113A. Plashchynska—137841
WMay 7 · 09:00N. Harmash—11711113A. Plashchynska—911691
LMay 3 · 11:35N. Harmash—41171182A. Plashchynska—113116113
N. Harmash10
LAug 11 · 08:05A. Rzhevska1.221411113N. Harmash4.0012620WAug 11 · 07:05S. Yureneva1.20126110N. Harmash4.331411133LJul 15 · 15:40U. Dronova1.221111113N. Harmash4.003850LJul 15 · 13:40Y. Mykhailyk1.50715712143N. Harmash2.5011131110122LJul 15 · 11:40A. Plashchynska2.001112133N. Harmash1.73610110WJul 12 · 10:08N. Harmash1.537111111113O. Melnik2.3811513822WJul 12 · 08:35O. Melnik1.83412991N. Harmash1.83111011113LJul 12 · 07:35N. Harmash2.631112118102P. Pashchenko1.44614511123LJul 12 · 06:35S. Yureneva1.221111113N. Harmash4.006920LJul 12 · 05:35N. Harmash2.6371171182Y. Mykhailyk1.44119118113
A. Plashchynska10
LSep 6 · 15:42A. Plashchynska1.83811101182O. Kolbasenko1.83115128113LSep 6 · 14:40Y. Mykhailyk1.221171111113A. Plashchynska4.0013117842WSep 6 · 13:10O. Kolbasenko1.30115611102A. Plashchynska3.40211116123WSep 6 · 11:40O. Melnik2.636380A. Plashchynska1.441111113LSep 6 · 10:40A. Rzhevska1.051211113A. Plashchynska8.5010560LSep 1 · 11:30S. Yureneva1.221181111113A. Plashchynska4.0081113452LSep 1 · 10:00A. Plashchynska6.004390P. Pashchenko1.111111113LSep 1 · 08:00Y. Mykhailyk1.251111113A. Plashchynska3.757870LSep 1 · 06:00A. Rzhevska1.061111113A. Plashchynska8.007630WJul 15 · 11:40A. Plashchynska2.001112133N. Harmash1.73610110
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