TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup WomenMatch #12398902
Played Aug 11Finished
Svitlana Yureneva
Home
1.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
12146111113––––
Nadiia Harmash
Away
4.33
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:27 and never touched — 94.1% is still 94.1%
Graded at full timeSvitlana Yureneva to win
94.1%
94.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingSvitlana Yureneva above · Nadiia Harmash below
Set 1 · 12-14
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-13
Point 67 set 3, 11-13 — our read held Svitlana Yureneva at 94.1%
67 points played in total.
H2H Svitlana Yureneva 60–21 Nadiia Harmash Nadiia Harmash has won 21 of their 81 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:27What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.20 (78%)
Yureneva
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
60-21 in 81
Yureneva
Wrong
gap of 39 in 81, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Yureneva 1536 vs Harmash 1104
Yureneva
Wrong
both rated, 432 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Yureneva 60% vs Harmash 40%
Yureneva
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Yureneva 80% vs Harmash 30%
Yureneva
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Yureneva +1 · Harmash -3
Harmash
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 87% — Strong (leans Yureneva) · live re-read · sealed at 94% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Harmash form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (23%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsYureneva 1.20 / Harmash 4.33
Signal prob.87% / 13%
Edge (Yureneva)+8.8pp
Setka Cup Women · #12398902
Yureneva1.20
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Harmash4.33
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeYureneva8wins
AwayHarmash2wins
2 of 10 to a deciderYureneva leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeYureneva100%7 of 7
AwayHarmash66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Yureneva7Harmash3n = 10Yureneva took 7 of 10
S2Yureneva6Harmash4n = 10Yureneva took 6 of 10
S3Yureneva8Harmash2n = 10Yureneva took 8 of 10
S4Yureneva4Harmash1n = 5Yureneva took 4 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricYurenevaHarmashY − HBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match38.732.6+6.1per matchSweeps41+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricYurenevaHarmashBasisWin rate · lifetime374 / 601 vs 100 / 30662.2%32.7%374 / 601 vs 100 / 306Avg sets wonper match2.21.5per matchAvg pointsper match37.234.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
YurenevaYureneva 1.20/Harmash 4.33
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
87.1%
Yureneva · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Harmash won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 11 · 07:05S. Yureneva—126110N. Harmash—1411133
WJul 12 · 06:35S. Yureneva—1111113N. Harmash—6920
WJun 16 · 08:35S. Yureneva—1111113N. Harmash—9370
WMay 8 · 09:35S. Yureneva—91111113N. Harmash—119881
WMay 7 · 11:00S. Yureneva—11811113N. Harmash—711881
WMay 3 · 06:05S. Yureneva—1111123N. Harmash—84100
WApr 29 · 10:05S. Yureneva—1115113N. Harmash—81380
WApr 28 · 10:05S. Yureneva—126116133N. Harmash—1011511112
WApr 23 · 10:05S. Yureneva—11911113N. Harmash—811881
LApr 21 · 11:05S. Yureneva—101191172N. Harmash—125119113
S. Yureneva10
WSep 1 · 11:30S. Yureneva1.221181111113A. Plashchynska4.0081113452LSep 1 · 09:30V. Kurtenko1.911111113S. Yureneva1.804770WSep 1 · 07:30A. Rzhevska2.205860S. Yureneva1.611111113LSep 1 · 06:30S. Yureneva1.44111141042P. Pashchenko2.63641112113WSep 1 · 05:30Y. Mykhailyk3.00811651S. Yureneva1.3611711113LAug 21 · 09:45A. Rzhevska2.10511512123S. Yureneva1.671191110102WAug 21 · 08:00Y. Mykhailyk3.00410120S. Yureneva1.361112143WAug 21 · 07:00S. Yureneva1.531111113P. Pashchenko2.383770WAug 21 · 06:00U. Dronova1.30118111382S. Yureneva3.40611715113WAug 21 · 05:00S. Yureneva1.67971111113A. Rzhevska2.1011119482
N. Harmash10
LAug 11 · 09:05N. Harmash2.007490A. Plashchynska1.731111113LAug 11 · 08:05A. Rzhevska1.221411113N. Harmash4.0012620LJul 15 · 15:40U. Dronova1.221111113N. Harmash4.003850LJul 15 · 13:40Y. Mykhailyk1.50715712143N. Harmash2.5011131110122LJul 15 · 11:40A. Plashchynska2.001112133N. Harmash1.73610110WJul 12 · 10:08N. Harmash1.537111111113O. Melnik2.3811513822WJul 12 · 08:35O. Melnik1.83412991N. Harmash1.83111011113LJul 12 · 07:35N. Harmash2.631112118102P. Pashchenko1.44614511123LJul 12 · 06:35S. Yureneva1.221111113N. Harmash4.006920LJul 12 · 05:35N. Harmash2.6371171182Y. Mykhailyk1.44119118113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.