TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12155116
Played Jul 4Finished
Mykyta Zavada
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1161181311––––
Alexander Tkachenko
Away
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingMykyta Zavada above · Alexander Tkachenko below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 13-11
Point 60 set 3, 13-11
60 points played in total.
H2H Mykyta Zavada 3–2 Alexander Tkachenko Alexander Tkachenko has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Zavada)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tkachenko form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZavada 1.50 / Tkachenko 2.50
Signal prob.64% / 37%
Edge (Zavada)+1.0pp
Setka Cup · #12155116
Zavada1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite71% won 82 of 116
Up 2–0, closes it95% 41 of 43
Up 1–0, closes it90% 63 of 70
Tkachenko2.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog49% won 60 of 123
Down 0–1, comes back30% 16 of 54
Down 0–2, comes back14% 4 of 29
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeZavada3wins
AwayTkachenko2wins
3 of 5 to a deciderZavada leads 3–2, and 3 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZavadan = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayTkachenko50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zavada1Tkachenko4n = 5Tkachenko took 4 of 5
S2Zavada2Tkachenko3n = 5Tkachenko took 3 of 5
S3Zavada3Tkachenko2n = 5Zavada took 3 of 5
S4Zavada3Tkachenko1n = 4Zavada took 3 of 4
S5Zavada2Tkachenko1n = 3Zavada took 2 of 3
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home120%
3–2Decider, home240%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away120%
These 5 meetings
MetricZavadaTkachenkoZ − TBasisWins32+1in 5 meetingsFirst set14−3of 5Avg pointsper match43.240.8+2.4per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZavadaTkachenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime286 / 579 vs 138 / 28449.4%48.6%286 / 579 vs 138 / 284Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match35.738.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZavadaZavada 1.50/Tkachenko 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.5%
Zavada · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Zavada won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WJan 24 · 06:30M. Zavada—8111012113A. Tkachenko—113121082
WJan 23 · 13:10M. Zavada—951112113A. Tkachenko—111151042
LDec 12 · 17:50M. Zavada—96100A. Tkachenko—1111123
LDec 6 · 12:20M. Zavada—121111652A. Tkachenko—146911103
WDec 5 · 20:20M. Zavada—111212113A. Tkachenko—5141061
M. Zavada10
WJul 4 · 17:09D. Neborak3.2511851182M. Zavada1.33911113113WJul 4 · 16:30M. Zavada1.25111179113D. Neborak3.7587111192WJul 4 · 15:30M. Zavada1.57101111133O. Bondarchuk2.251288111WJul 4 · 13:00M. Zavada1.67111111113I. Hermakivskyi2.10791391WJun 20 · 11:50M. Zavada1.531111133O. Shkurupii2.3886110WJun 20 · 10:20M. Zavada1.281316113O. Belskyi3.50111430WJun 20 · 08:50M. Zavada1.2511811113D. Neborak3.75411281WJun 20 · 07:20M. Zavada1.369111011123N. Petukh3.00117126102LJun 20 · 05:50M. Zavada1.443640O. Bondarchuk2.631111113LJun 19 · 21:50O. Shkurupii2.381111113M. Zavada1.534980
A. Tkachenko10
LAug 21 · 16:30A. Tkachenko1.57591111112D. Neborak2.25111159133LAug 21 · 15:30A. Tkachenko1.803101161O. Bondarchuk1.9111128113LAug 21 · 14:00A. Tkachenko2.2011911111O. Ivchuk1.6181113133WAug 21 · 13:00A. Tkachenko2.00141011143I. Hermakivskyi1.7312127121LAug 8 · 09:20D. Neborak2.251111143A. Tkachenko1.5759120LAug 8 · 08:20A. Tkachenko1.808480I. Hermakivskyi1.911111113WAug 8 · 07:20O. Bondarchuk1.9181140A. Tkachenko1.801113113LAug 8 · 06:20A. Tkachenko1.8071060O. Ivchuk1.911112113WAug 7 · 17:29A. Tkachenko1.831113113O. Bondarchuk1.8381140WAug 7 · 15:30D. Neborak2.25951131A. Tkachenko1.5711119113
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