TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12155308
Played Jul 4Finished
Mykyta Zavada
Home
1.25
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 6
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
118117711911119
Dmytro Neborak
Away
3.75
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 3
How it is goingMykyta Zavada above · Dmytro Neborak below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 95 set 5, 11-9
95 points played in total.
H2H Mykyta Zavada 36–15 Dmytro Neborak Dmytro Neborak has won 15 of their 51 meetings.
Signal confidence: 86% — Strong (leans Zavada)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Neborak form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (27%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZavada 1.25 / Neborak 3.75
Signal prob.86% / 14%
Edge (Zavada)+11.0pp
Setka Cup · #12155308
Zavada1.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite71% won 82 of 116
Up 2–0, closes it95% 41 of 43
Up 1–0, closes it90% 63 of 70
Neborak3.75
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog33% won 108 of 329
Down 0–1, comes back18% 38 of 207
Down 0–2, comes back10% 13 of 131
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZavada6wins
AwayNeborak4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderZavada leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZavada75%6 of 8
AwayNeborakn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zavada8Neborak2n = 10Zavada took 8 of 10
S2Zavada5Neborak5n = 10split evenly
S3Zavada8Neborak2n = 10Zavada took 8 of 10
S4Zavada3Neborak3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricZavadaNeborakZ − NBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match39.232.0+7.2per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZavadaNeborakBasisWin rate · lifetime288 / 581 vs 432 / 108849.6%39.7%288 / 581 vs 432 / 1088Avg sets wonper match1.91.8per matchAvg pointsper match35.735.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZavadaZavada 1.25/Neborak 3.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
86%
Zavada · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Zavada won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJun 20 · 08:50M. Zavada—11811113D. Neborak—411281
LJun 19 · 20:20M. Zavada—1191191D. Neborak—13117113
LJun 10 · 17:30M. Zavada—111210792D. Neborak—8101211113
WJun 10 · 12:30M. Zavada—1111113D. Neborak—4490
WJun 9 · 17:30M. Zavada—1311113D. Neborak—11240
LJun 9 · 12:30M. Zavada—812111172D. Neborak—111456113
WJun 2 · 17:03M. Zavada—1111113D. Neborak—7980
LJun 2 · 16:00M. Zavada—119891D. Neborak—81111113
WMay 20 · 17:30M. Zavada—11811123D. Neborak—5118101
WMay 20 · 12:30M. Zavada—1111113D. Neborak—9750
M. Zavada10
WJul 4 · 17:09D. Neborak3.2511851182M. Zavada1.33911113113WJul 4 · 15:30M. Zavada1.57101111133O. Bondarchuk2.251288111WJul 4 · 14:00M. Zavada1.501111133A. Tkachenko2.5068110WJul 4 · 13:00M. Zavada1.67111111113I. Hermakivskyi2.10791391WJun 20 · 11:50M. Zavada1.531111133O. Shkurupii2.3886110WJun 20 · 10:20M. Zavada1.281316113O. Belskyi3.50111430WJun 20 · 08:50M. Zavada1.2511811113D. Neborak3.75411281WJun 20 · 07:20M. Zavada1.369111011123N. Petukh3.00117126102LJun 20 · 05:50M. Zavada1.443640O. Bondarchuk2.631111113LJun 19 · 21:50O. Shkurupii2.381111113M. Zavada1.534980
D. Neborak10
LSep 6 · 19:25D. Neborak2.386121211102V. Melnik1.531114109123WSep 6 · 17:55D. Neborak1.256111411113E. Pismenniy3.7511816992WSep 6 · 16:25D. Neborak3.251111113Y. Masko1.334670WSep 6 · 14:55D. Neborak2.501981311113R. Cherevko1.50171115532WSep 6 · 13:25D. Neborak1.369121193R. Reznychenko3.001110641WSep 5 · 20:25D. Neborak1.361112113E. Pismenniy3.0021080WSep 5 · 18:25Y. Masko1.3088111122D. Neborak3.40111188103LSep 5 · 16:25A. Tuzhylin1.3013118113D. Neborak3.401191191LJul 4 · 17:09D. Neborak3.2511851182M. Zavada1.33911113113LJun 20 · 08:50M. Zavada1.2511811113D. Neborak3.75411281
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