TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12065113
Played Jun 19Finished
Oleksandr Shkurupii
Home
2.38
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
114119118––––
Mykyta Zavada
Away
1.53
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingOleksandr Shkurupii above · Mykyta Zavada below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 54 set 3, 11-8
54 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Shkurupii 29–40 Mykyta Zavada Oleksandr Shkurupii has won 29 of their 69 meetings.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Zavada)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zavada form (40%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsShkurupii 2.38 / Zavada 1.53
Signal prob.31% / 69%
Edge (Zavada)+8.0pp
Setka Cup · #12065113
Shkurupii2.38
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog40% won 66 of 167
Down 0–1, comes back19% 17 of 91
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 59
Zavada1.53
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite71% won 76 of 107
Up 2–0, closes it95% 38 of 40
Up 1–0, closes it89% 59 of 66
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeShkurupii3wins
AwayZavada7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderZavada leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeShkurupii66.7%2 of 3
AwayZavada85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Shkurupii3Zavada7n = 10Zavada took 7 of 10
S2Shkurupii6Zavada4n = 10Shkurupii took 6 of 10
S3Shkurupii2Zavada8n = 10Zavada took 8 of 10
S4Shkurupii3Zavada4n = 7Zavada took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricShkurupiiZavadaS − ZBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match36.738.6−1.9per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricShkurupiiZavadaBasisWin rate · lifetime497 / 1020 vs 282 / 57148.7%49.4%497 / 1020 vs 282 / 571Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.935.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZavadaShkurupii 2.38/Zavada 1.53
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
68.8%
Zavada · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Shkurupii won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJun 10 · 15:00O. Shkurupii—9124111M. Zavada—111011133
LJun 10 · 14:00O. Shkurupii—81290M. Zavada—1114113
WJun 9 · 16:00O. Shkurupii—131412113M. Zavada—11121461
LJun 9 · 13:30O. Shkurupii—9870M. Zavada—1111113
WJun 2 · 12:30O. Shkurupii—911311113M. Zavada—11711452
LMay 25 · 16:00O. Shkurupii—981181M. Zavada—11119113
LMay 25 · 13:30O. Shkurupii—811441M. Zavada—11911113
LMay 20 · 15:00O. Shkurupii—1191011102M. Zavada—811129123
LMay 20 · 14:00O. Shkurupii—1011961M. Zavada—12511113
WMay 19 · 16:00O. Shkurupii—1111113M. Zavada—3850
O. Shkurupii10
LAug 30 · 10:00O. Zhurba1.331111113O. Shkurupii3.255380LAug 30 · 08:30S. Hohenko1.501211123O. Shkurupii2.50107100LAug 30 · 07:30O. Shkurupii1.67113110D. Neborak2.101115133WAug 30 · 06:30D. Neborak2.25101111131O. Shkurupii1.5712138153LAug 30 · 06:00O. Shkurupii2.387780S. Hohenko1.531111113LAug 30 · 05:00O. Shkurupii3.256560O. Zhurba1.331111113LAug 29 · 17:00O. Shkurupii3.257990O. Zhurba1.331111113WAug 29 · 16:00O. Shkurupii2.75111110123S. Hohenko1.403812101LAug 29 · 15:30O. Shkurupii1.5758111122D. Neborak2.25111199103LAug 29 · 14:30D. Neborak2.254111383O. Shkurupii1.571161141
M. Zavada10
WJul 4 · 17:09D. Neborak3.2511851182M. Zavada1.33911113113WJul 4 · 16:30M. Zavada1.25111179113D. Neborak3.7587111192WJul 4 · 15:30M. Zavada1.57101111133O. Bondarchuk2.251288111WJul 4 · 14:00M. Zavada1.501111133A. Tkachenko2.5068110WJul 4 · 13:00M. Zavada1.67111111113I. Hermakivskyi2.10791391WJun 20 · 11:50M. Zavada1.531111133O. Shkurupii2.3886110WJun 20 · 10:20M. Zavada1.281316113O. Belskyi3.50111430WJun 20 · 08:50M. Zavada1.2511811113D. Neborak3.75411281WJun 20 · 07:20M. Zavada1.369111011123N. Petukh3.00117126102LJun 20 · 05:50M. Zavada1.443640O. Bondarchuk2.631111113
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