TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12071662
Played Jun 20Finished
Mykyta Zavada
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1181161311––––
Oleksandr Shkurupii
Away
2.38
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingMykyta Zavada above · Oleksandr Shkurupii below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 13-11
Point 60 set 3, 13-11
60 points played in total.
H2H Mykyta Zavada 40–29 Oleksandr Shkurupii Oleksandr Shkurupii has won 29 of their 69 meetings.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Zavada)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Shkurupii form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZavada 1.53 / Shkurupii 2.38
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Zavada)+3.0pp
Setka Cup · #12071662
Zavada1.53
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite70% won 78 of 111
Up 2–0, closes it95% 39 of 41
Up 1–0, closes it90% 60 of 67
Shkurupii2.38
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog40% won 68 of 170
Down 0–1, comes back20% 18 of 92
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 59
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZavada7wins
AwayShkurupii3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderZavada leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZavada85.7%6 of 7
AwayShkurupii66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zavada7Shkurupii3n = 10Zavada took 7 of 10
S2Zavada4Shkurupii6n = 10Shkurupii took 6 of 10
S3Zavada8Shkurupii2n = 10Zavada took 8 of 10
S4Zavada4Shkurupii3n = 7Zavada took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricZavadaShkurupiiZ − SBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match38.636.7+1.9per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZavadaShkurupiiBasisWin rate · lifetime284 / 577 vs 500 / 102449.2%48.8%284 / 577 vs 500 / 1024Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match35.737.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZavadaZavada 1.53/Shkurupii 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.8%
Zavada · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Zavada won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJun 10 · 15:00M. Zavada—111011133O. Shkurupii—9124111
WJun 10 · 14:00M. Zavada—1114113O. Shkurupii—81290
LJun 9 · 16:00M. Zavada—11121461O. Shkurupii—131412113
WJun 9 · 13:30M. Zavada—1111113O. Shkurupii—9870
LJun 2 · 12:30M. Zavada—11711452O. Shkurupii—911311113
WMay 25 · 16:00M. Zavada—11119113O. Shkurupii—981181
WMay 25 · 13:30M. Zavada—11911113O. Shkurupii—811441
WMay 20 · 15:00M. Zavada—811129123O. Shkurupii—1191011102
WMay 20 · 14:00M. Zavada—12511113O. Shkurupii—1011961
LMay 19 · 16:00M. Zavada—3850O. Shkurupii—1111113
M. Zavada10
WJul 4 · 17:09D. Neborak3.2511851182M. Zavada1.33911113113WJul 4 · 16:30M. Zavada1.25111179113D. Neborak3.7587111192WJul 4 · 15:30M. Zavada1.57101111133O. Bondarchuk2.251288111WJul 4 · 14:00M. Zavada1.501111133A. Tkachenko2.5068110WJul 4 · 13:00M. Zavada1.67111111113I. Hermakivskyi2.10791391WJun 20 · 10:20M. Zavada1.281316113O. Belskyi3.50111430WJun 20 · 08:50M. Zavada1.2511811113D. Neborak3.75411281WJun 20 · 07:20M. Zavada1.369111011123N. Petukh3.00117126102LJun 20 · 05:50M. Zavada1.443640O. Bondarchuk2.631111113LJun 19 · 21:50O. Shkurupii2.381111113M. Zavada1.534980
O. Shkurupii10
LAug 30 · 10:00O. Zhurba1.331111113O. Shkurupii3.255380LAug 30 · 08:30S. Hohenko1.501211123O. Shkurupii2.50107100LAug 30 · 07:30O. Shkurupii1.67113110D. Neborak2.101115133WAug 30 · 06:30D. Neborak2.25101111131O. Shkurupii1.5712138153LAug 30 · 06:00O. Shkurupii2.387780S. Hohenko1.531111113LAug 30 · 05:00O. Shkurupii3.256560O. Zhurba1.331111113LAug 29 · 17:00O. Shkurupii3.257990O. Zhurba1.331111113WAug 29 · 16:00O. Shkurupii2.75111110123S. Hohenko1.403812101LAug 29 · 15:30O. Shkurupii1.5758111122D. Neborak2.25111199103WJun 19 · 21:50O. Shkurupii2.381111113M. Zavada1.534980
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