TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12058121
Played Jun 18Finished
Anton Molochko
Home
3.75
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
114911811114119
Andrii Grebeniuk
Away
1.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingAnton Molochko above · Andrii Grebeniuk below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-4
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 89 set 5, 11-9
89 points played in total.
H2H Anton Molochko 16–72 Andrii Grebeniuk Anton Molochko has won 16 of their 88 meetings.
Signal confidence: 84% — Strong (leans Grebeniuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Molochko form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (27%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMolochko 3.75 / Grebeniuk 1.25
Signal prob.16% / 84%
Edge (Grebeniuk)+8.8pp
Setka Cup · #12058121
Molochko3.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog44% won 72 of 163
Down 0–1, comes back28% 29 of 103
Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 57
Grebeniuk1.25
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite75% won 36 of 48
Up 2–0, closes it90% 17 of 19
Up 1–0, closes it83% 20 of 24
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMolochko3wins
AwayGrebeniuk7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderGrebeniuk leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMolochko42.9%3 of 7
AwayGrebeniuk100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Molochko7Grebeniuk3n = 10Molochko took 7 of 10
S2Molochko4Grebeniuk6n = 10Grebeniuk took 6 of 10
S3Molochko3Grebeniuk7n = 10Grebeniuk took 7 of 10
S4Molochko3Grebeniuk6n = 9Grebeniuk took 6 of 9
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMolochkoGrebeniukM − GBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match36.939.3−2.4per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMolochkoGrebeniukBasisWin rate · lifetime762 / 1326 vs 367 / 46257.5%79.4%762 / 1326 vs 367 / 462Avg sets wonper match2.12.6per matchAvg pointsper match37.539.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GrebeniukMolochko 3.75/Grebeniuk 1.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
83.8%
Grebeniuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Molochko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJun 4 · 19:50A. Molochko—11117123A. Grebeniuk—5311101
LMay 29 · 06:20A. Molochko—114981A. Grebeniuk—91111113
LMay 28 · 16:20A. Molochko—861171A. Grebeniuk—11117113
WJan 9 · 13:50A. Molochko—11118113A. Grebeniuk—791181
LNov 14 · 12:20A. Molochko—11712121A. Grebeniuk—81114133
LNov 11 · 10:35A. Molochko—871151A. Grebeniuk—11114113
LNov 10 · 13:35A. Molochko—111111262A. Grebeniuk—861311113
LNov 9 · 21:30A. Molochko—1112115112A. Grebeniuk—714211133
WOct 29 · 09:05A. Molochko—11116123A. Grebeniuk—7711101
LOct 28 · 13:05A. Molochko—4780A. Grebeniuk—1111113
A. Molochko10
WSep 7 · 12:05A. Molochko1.201191210113A. Zeniuk4.33811101272LSep 7 · 01:38N. Danyliuk1.53771114113A. Molochko2.38111181262WSep 7 · 24:30A. Molochko2.20118811123N. Danyliuk1.61811118102WSep 6 · 23:30A. Molochko1.441111113V. Verbyany2.639560WSep 6 · 22:00A. Molochko1.2811117113A. Zeniuk3.50681141LSep 6 · 21:00A. Molochko1.57129751D. Zeniuk2.25101111113LSep 4 · 09:53V. Verbyany2.38101111113A. Molochko1.53127431WSep 4 · 08:55A. Molochko2.201111133N. Danyliuk1.6138110LSep 4 · 07:55A. Molochko1.5751214792V. Verbyany2.2511101211113WSep 4 · 06:25A. Molochko1.67111111113D. Zeniuk2.10137561
A. Grebeniuk10
LJun 19 · 18:55B. Kohut4.50111266123A. Grebeniuk1.172101111102WJun 19 · 17:25A. Grebeniuk1.2561111113V. Hryban3.75113991WJun 19 · 15:25A. Molochko3.75116411112A. Grebeniuk1.25711118133WJun 19 · 13:25N. Danyliuk3.00911571A. Grebeniuk1.3611811113WJun 19 · 12:25V. Verbyany5.50911621A. Grebeniuk1.1311811113LJun 19 · 02:45N. Danyliuk2.7511115113A. Grebeniuk1.40491161LJun 19 · 01:45V. Hryban3.7511118113A. Grebeniuk1.25481181WJun 19 · 24:15V. Verbyany6.0011291122A. Grebeniuk1.11511118113LJun 18 · 20:15B. Kohut5.001111113A. Grebeniuk1.148360WJun 4 · 21:50A. Grebeniuk1.30111310113V. Hryban3.403111261
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.