TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12065020
Played Jun 19Finished
Bohdan Kohut
Home
4.50
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
11212106116111210
Andrii Grebeniuk
Away
1.17
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
How it is goingBohdan Kohut above · Andrii Grebeniuk below
Set 1 · 11-2
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 12-10
Point 91 set 5, 12-10
91 points played in total.
H2H Bohdan Kohut 2–4 Andrii Grebeniuk Bohdan Kohut has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
Signal confidence: 89% — Strong (leans Grebeniuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Grebeniuk form (60%) is below what odds imply (86%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKohut 4.50 / Grebeniuk 1.17
Signal prob.11% / 89%
Edge (Grebeniuk)+10.0pp
Setka Cup · #12065020
Kohut4.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog37% won 119 of 320
Down 0–1, comes back20% 35 of 177
Down 0–2, comes back5% 5 of 109
Grebeniuk1.17
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite70% won 37 of 53
Up 2–0, closes it90% 17 of 19
Up 1–0, closes it83% 20 of 24
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeKohut2wins
AwayGrebeniuk4wins
2 of 6 to a deciderGrebeniuk leads 4–2, and 2 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKohut25%1 of 4
AwayGrebeniukn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kohut4Grebeniuk2n = 6Kohut took 4 of 6
S2Kohut2Grebeniuk4n = 6Grebeniuk took 4 of 6
S3Kohut2Grebeniuk4n = 6Grebeniuk took 4 of 6
S4Kohut3Grebeniuk2n = 5Kohut took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home233%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away233%
1–3Four sets, away117%
0–3Straight, away117%
These 6 meetings
MetricKohutGrebeniukK − GBasisWins24−2in 6 meetingsFirst set42+2of 6Avg pointsper match34.238.8−4.6per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKohutGrebeniukBasisWin rate · lifetime219 / 492 vs 371 / 47044.5%78.9%219 / 492 vs 371 / 470Avg sets wonper match1.82.6per matchAvg pointsper match36.539.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GrebeniukKohut 4.50/Grebeniuk 1.17
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
89.4%
Grebeniuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kohut won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LJun 4 · 16:50B. Kohut—11117692A. Grebeniuk—591111113
LMay 29 · 11:50B. Kohut—11761162A. Grebeniuk—711118113
LMay 28 · 15:20B. Kohut—6340A. Grebeniuk—1111113
LApr 18 · 06:50B. Kohut—113731A. Grebeniuk—71111113
WApr 17 · 21:48B. Kohut—121111123A. Grebeniuk—10139101
WApr 17 · 20:50B. Kohut—51111103A. Grebeniuk—111471
B. Kohut10
WAug 31 · 03:00B. Kohut1.301111113A. Zeniuk3.406840LAug 31 · 01:00N. Danyliuk1.33111111113B. Kohut3.25136661LAug 30 · 23:00A. Molochko1.401081111113B. Kohut2.7512117592LAug 30 · 22:00B. Kohut1.5396110D. Zeniuk2.381111133WAug 30 · 21:00V. Verbyany1.8051161172B. Kohut1.91114118113WAug 25 · 10:08A. Molochko1.44513111172B. Kohut2.631111136113LAug 25 · 09:05B. Kohut2.631511941A. Molochko1.4417711113LAug 25 · 08:05B. Kohut3.408690N. Danyliuk1.301111113WAug 25 · 06:35B. Kohut1.831111113V. Verbyany1.839950LAug 25 · 05:35B. Kohut1.44121111582D. Zeniuk2.631071311113
A. Grebeniuk10
WJun 19 · 17:25A. Grebeniuk1.2561111113V. Hryban3.75113991WJun 19 · 15:25A. Molochko3.75116411112A. Grebeniuk1.25711118133WJun 19 · 13:25N. Danyliuk3.00911571A. Grebeniuk1.3611811113WJun 19 · 12:25V. Verbyany5.50911621A. Grebeniuk1.1311811113LJun 19 · 02:45N. Danyliuk2.7511115113A. Grebeniuk1.40491161LJun 19 · 01:45V. Hryban3.7511118113A. Grebeniuk1.25481181WJun 19 · 24:15V. Verbyany6.0011291122A. Grebeniuk1.11511118113LJun 18 · 22:15A. Molochko3.75119811113A. Grebeniuk1.2541111492LJun 18 · 20:15B. Kohut5.001111113A. Grebeniuk1.148360WJun 4 · 21:50A. Grebeniuk1.30111310113V. Hryban3.403111261
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