TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12065008
Played Jun 19Finished
Vasily Verbyany
Home
5.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
911118611211––
Andrii Grebeniuk
Away
1.13
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingVasily Verbyany above · Andrii Grebeniuk below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 2-11
Point 69 set 4, 2-11
69 points played in total.
H2H Vasily Verbyany 6–27 Andrii Grebeniuk Vasily Verbyany has won 6 of their 33 meetings.
Signal confidence: 94% — Strong (leans Grebeniuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Grebeniuk form (40%) is below what odds imply (89%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVerbyany 5.50 / Grebeniuk 1.13
Signal prob.6% / 94%
Edge (Grebeniuk)+11.0pp
Setka Cup · #12065008
Verbyany5.50
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog38% won 112 of 292
Down 0–1, comes back21% 35 of 171
Down 0–2, comes back1% 1 of 84
Grebeniuk1.13
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite75% won 36 of 48
Up 2–0, closes it90% 17 of 19
Up 1–0, closes it83% 20 of 24
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVerbyany2wins
AwayGrebeniuk8wins
2 of 10 to a deciderGrebeniuk leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVerbyany33.3%1 of 3
AwayGrebeniuk85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Verbyany3Grebeniuk7n = 10Grebeniuk took 7 of 10
S2Verbyany3Grebeniuk7n = 10Grebeniuk took 7 of 10
S3Verbyany2Grebeniuk8n = 10Grebeniuk took 8 of 10
S4Verbyany1Grebeniuk3n = 4Grebeniuk took 3 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away550%
These 10 meetings
MetricVerbyanyGrebeniukV − GBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match27.436.3−8.9per matchSweeps15−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVerbyanyGrebeniukBasisWin rate · lifetime451 / 1083 vs 368 / 46541.6%79.1%451 / 1083 vs 368 / 465Avg sets wonper match1.82.6per matchAvg pointsper match35.839.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GrebeniukVerbyany 5.50/Grebeniuk 1.13
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
94%
Grebeniuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Grebeniuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WNov 11 · 09:35V. Verbyany—1111143A. Grebeniuk—67120
LNov 10 · 18:05V. Verbyany—101211262A. Grebeniuk—121061193
LNov 10 · 02:00V. Verbyany—6240A. Grebeniuk—1111113
LOct 29 · 11:01V. Verbyany—149481A. Grebeniuk—121111113
LOct 28 · 18:35V. Verbyany—4990A. Grebeniuk—1111103
LOct 28 · 03:30V. Verbyany—115491A. Grebeniuk—21111113
LAug 26 · 10:35V. Verbyany—31080A. Grebeniuk—1112103
LAug 25 · 17:35V. Verbyany—8790A. Grebeniuk—1111113
LJul 8 · 08:35V. Verbyany—5630A. Grebeniuk—1111113
WJul 7 · 18:35V. Verbyany—311411113A. Grebeniuk—11711892
V. Verbyany10
LSep 6 · 23:30A. Molochko1.441111113V. Verbyany2.639560LSep 6 · 22:30V. Verbyany1.617118131D. Zeniuk2.2011911153LSep 6 · 21:30N. Danyliuk1.501111113V. Verbyany2.507740WSep 6 · 20:30V. Verbyany1.22111011113A. Zeniuk4.00712891WSep 4 · 09:53V. Verbyany2.38101111113A. Molochko1.53127431WSep 4 · 07:55A. Molochko1.5751214792V. Verbyany2.2511101211113WSep 4 · 06:55V. Verbyany1.281111113A. Zeniuk3.503580WSep 4 · 05:55N. Danyliuk1.5381191182V. Verbyany2.38114119113LSep 4 · 04:55V. Verbyany1.7311481172D. Zeniuk2.00311119113LSep 3 · 17:09N. Danyliuk1.611111113V. Verbyany2.206440
A. Grebeniuk10
LJun 19 · 18:55B. Kohut4.50111266123A. Grebeniuk1.172101111102WJun 19 · 17:25A. Grebeniuk1.2561111113V. Hryban3.75113991WJun 19 · 15:25A. Molochko3.75116411112A. Grebeniuk1.25711118133WJun 19 · 13:25N. Danyliuk3.00911571A. Grebeniuk1.3611811113LJun 19 · 02:45N. Danyliuk2.7511115113A. Grebeniuk1.40491161LJun 19 · 01:45V. Hryban3.7511118113A. Grebeniuk1.25481181WJun 19 · 24:15V. Verbyany6.0011291122A. Grebeniuk1.11511118113LJun 18 · 22:15A. Molochko3.75119811113A. Grebeniuk1.2541111492LJun 18 · 20:15B. Kohut5.001111113A. Grebeniuk1.148360WJun 4 · 21:50A. Grebeniuk1.30111310113V. Hryban3.403111261
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