TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12058337
Played Jun 19Finished
Nazar Danyliuk
Home
2.75
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
114119511116––
Andrii Grebeniuk
Away
1.40
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingNazar Danyliuk above · Andrii Grebeniuk below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 68 set 4, 11-6
68 points played in total.
H2H Nazar Danyliuk 20–60 Andrii Grebeniuk Nazar Danyliuk has won 20 of their 80 meetings.
Signal confidence: 70% — Strong (leans Grebeniuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Grebeniuk form (40%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDanyliuk 2.75 / Grebeniuk 1.40
Signal prob.30% / 70%
Edge (Grebeniuk)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #12058337
Danyliuk2.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog39% won 57 of 145
Down 0–1, comes back13% 9 of 70
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 47
Grebeniuk1.40
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite75% won 36 of 48
Up 2–0, closes it90% 17 of 19
Up 1–0, closes it83% 20 of 24
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDanyliuk2wins
AwayGrebeniuk8wins
5 of 10 to a deciderGrebeniuk leads 8–2, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDanyliuk50%2 of 4
AwayGrebeniuk100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Danyliuk4Grebeniuk6n = 10Grebeniuk took 6 of 10
S2Danyliuk2Grebeniuk8n = 10Grebeniuk took 8 of 10
S3Danyliuk4Grebeniuk6n = 10Grebeniuk took 6 of 10
S4Danyliuk3Grebeniuk2n = 5Danyliuk took 3 of 5
S5Danyliuk1Grebeniuk4n = 5Grebeniuk took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricDanyliukGrebeniukD − GBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match35.141.0−5.9per matchSweeps14−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDanyliukGrebeniukBasisWin rate · lifetime824 / 1399 vs 367 / 46458.9%79.1%824 / 1399 vs 367 / 464Avg sets wonper match2.22.6per matchAvg pointsper match37.939.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GrebeniukDanyliuk 2.75/Grebeniuk 1.40
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
70.3%
Grebeniuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Danyliuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LMay 29 · 10:50N. Danyliuk—12916392A. Grebeniuk—10111411113
LMay 28 · 20:20N. Danyliuk—10380A. Grebeniuk—1211113
LJan 9 · 08:50N. Danyliuk—3980A. Grebeniuk—1111113
LNov 14 · 08:50N. Danyliuk—9440A. Grebeniuk—1111113
WNov 11 · 08:05N. Danyliuk—1515113A. Grebeniuk—131360
WNov 10 · 15:35N. Danyliuk—118118113A. Grebeniuk—41181142
LNov 9 · 23:30N. Danyliuk—61191172A. Grebeniuk—118114113
LOct 29 · 07:05N. Danyliuk—14461182A. Grebeniuk—1211119113
LOct 28 · 17:05N. Danyliuk—9370A. Grebeniuk—1111113
LOct 28 · 01:00N. Danyliuk—591111122A. Grebeniuk—111196143
N. Danyliuk10
WSep 7 · 12:35N. Danyliuk1.331111113B. Kohut3.254870WSep 7 · 01:38N. Danyliuk1.53771114113A. Molochko2.38111181262LSep 7 · 24:30A. Molochko2.20118811123N. Danyliuk1.61811118102WSep 6 · 23:00N. Danyliuk1.0781113113A. Zeniuk7.501121181WSep 6 · 21:30N. Danyliuk1.501111113V. Verbyany2.507740WSep 6 · 20:00N. Danyliuk1.331511910113D. Zeniuk3.25136111252WSep 4 · 09:31D. Zeniuk8.5048100N. Danyliuk1.051111123LSep 4 · 08:55A. Molochko2.201111133N. Danyliuk1.6138110WSep 4 · 07:25N. Danyliuk1.36121111113D. Zeniuk3.00146751LSep 4 · 05:55N. Danyliuk1.5381191182V. Verbyany2.38114119113
A. Grebeniuk10
LJun 19 · 18:55B. Kohut4.50111266123A. Grebeniuk1.172101111102WJun 19 · 17:25A. Grebeniuk1.2561111113V. Hryban3.75113991WJun 19 · 15:25A. Molochko3.75116411112A. Grebeniuk1.25711118133WJun 19 · 13:25N. Danyliuk3.00911571A. Grebeniuk1.3611811113WJun 19 · 12:25V. Verbyany5.50911621A. Grebeniuk1.1311811113LJun 19 · 01:45V. Hryban3.7511118113A. Grebeniuk1.25481181WJun 19 · 24:15V. Verbyany6.0011291122A. Grebeniuk1.11511118113LJun 18 · 22:15A. Molochko3.75119811113A. Grebeniuk1.2541111492LJun 18 · 20:15B. Kohut5.001111113A. Grebeniuk1.148360WJun 4 · 21:50A. Grebeniuk1.30111310113V. Hryban3.403111261
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