Arkadiusz Mugowski vs Mikolaj Olejnik 3-1

TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series

TT Elite SeriesMatch #12037278

Played Jun 14Finished

Arkadiusz Mugowski

Home

1.83

At publish

Won last 3

Form at publish

7–3Last 10Won last 3

Final

3 – 1

Set by set

11611131210119––

Mikolaj Olejnik

Away

1.86

At publish

Won last 3

Form at publish

7–3Last 10Won last 3

How it is going

Point-by-point unavailable

BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.

83 points played in total.

Set by set

11611131210119––

H2H Arkadiusz Mugowski 8–9 Mikolaj Olejnik Arkadiusz Mugowski has won 8 of their 17 meetings.

Last 10 · 4–6Same sideHead to head

Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Mugowski)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Olejnik form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (54%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsMugowski 1.83 / Olejnik 1.86

Signal prob.54% / 46%

Edge (Mugowski)+3.6pp

TT Elite Series · #12037278

Mugowski1.83

70%won 7 of 10 · last 10

Won last 3

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As favourite56% won 173 of 311

Up 2–0, closes it98% 92 of 94

Up 1–0, closes it81% 133 of 164

Olejnik1.86

70%won 7 of 10 · last 10

Won last 3

oldest → newest

30%takes the first set · 3 of 10

As underdog37% won 15 of 41

Down 0–1, comes back17% 4 of 23

Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 11

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeMugowski4wins

AwayOlejnik6wins

Olejnik leads 6–4.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeMugowski66.7%4 of 6

AwayOlejnik100%4 of 4

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Mugowski6Olejnik4n = 10Mugowski took 6 of 10

S2Mugowski4Olejnik6n = 10Olejnik took 6 of 10

S3Mugowski2Olejnik8n = 10Olejnik took 8 of 10

S4Mugowski3Olejnik3n = 6split evenly

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home110%

3–1Four sets, home330%

3–2Decider, home00%

2–3Decider, away00%

1–3Four sets, away330%

0–3Straight, away330%

These 10 meetings

MetricMugowskiOlejnikM − OBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match32.433.9−1.5per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricMugowskiOlejnikBasisWin rate · lifetime1447 / 3116 vs 144 / 32246.4%44.7%1447 / 3116 vs 144 / 322Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.136.7per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Mugowski

Mugowski 1.83/Olejnik 1.86

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

54%

Mugowski · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–1

Mugowski won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record10

WJun 13 · 05:40A. Mugowski—11117113M. Olejnik—571161

LFeb 14 · 12:20A. Mugowski—94100M. Olejnik—1111123

WFeb 14 · 06:25A. Mugowski—1111113M. Olejnik—6760

LFeb 14 · 04:00A. Mugowski—1061121M. Olejnik—12115113

LNov 16 · 04:30A. Mugowski—71540M. Olejnik—1117113

WNov 14 · 19:10A. Mugowski—11118113M. Olejnik—991161

LSep 20 · 03:05A. Mugowski—5850M. Olejnik—1111113

LAug 6 · 08:10A. Mugowski—118951M. Olejnik—51111113

LAug 5 · 13:25A. Mugowski—11117101M. Olejnik—31311123

WAug 4 · 06:55A. Mugowski—12118113M. Olejnik—1061171

A. Mugowski10

WSep 5 · 13:50A. Mugowski1.921311143J. Wozniak1.76115120 LSep 5 · 12:35A. Mugowski1.73111181242K. Klocek2.00991114113 LSep 5 · 11:20A. Mugowski2.609980M. Minda1.421111113 LSep 5 · 10:05J. Przewlocki1.951211123A. Mugowski1.74104100 WSep 5 · 09:20A. Mugowski1.90921111113B. Kwodawski1.7511115842 LSep 4 · 08:05A. Mugowski2.608890D. Solilo1.421111113 LSep 4 · 06:25A. Lilien1.451111123A. Mugowski2.5075100 LSep 4 · 05:35J. Zochniak1.5241312133A. Mugowski2.30111110111 LSep 4 · 04:50A. Mugowski5.20581471G. Poliniewicz1.12111112113 WSep 4 · 03:40A. Mugowski2.201111113M. Minda1.606770

M. Olejnik10

LJun 14 · 14:00M. Olejnik1.737780K. Makowski2.001111113 LJun 14 · 12:45M. Olejnik1.801146131A. Mugowski1.9171111153 WJun 14 · 11:30M. Olejnik2.001211113A. Szoltysek1.7310770 WJun 14 · 10:20M. Minda2.101113117132M. Olejnik1.67515711153 LJun 14 · 09:30M. Olejnik1.83811691W. Gronowski1.8311611113 WJun 14 · 08:10F. Jablonski2.10114581M. Olejnik1.6671111113 WJun 14 · 07:20K. Makowski1.9111780M. Olejnik1.801311113 LJun 14 · 05:15D. Poloszczanski2.4881311113M. Olejnik1.461111891 WJun 14 · 03:00K. Marchlewski1.839970M. Olejnik1.861111113 WJun 13 · 14:40M. Olejnik2.01511124133K. Marchlewski1.691161011112

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