TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #12033901
Played Jun 14Finished
Michal Minda
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
11513151177111315
Mikolaj Olejnik
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingMichal Minda above · Mikolaj Olejnik below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 13-15
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 13-15
Point 108 set 5, 13-15
108 points played in total.
H2H Michal Minda 3–4 Mikolaj Olejnik Michal Minda has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Minda)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Minda form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMinda 2.10 / Olejnik 1.67
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Minda)+10.0pp
TT Elite Series · #12033901
Minda2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog46% won 185 of 400
Down 0–1, comes back19% 39 of 206
Down 0–2, comes back6% 6 of 105
Olejnik1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite49% won 16 of 33
Up 2–0, closes it89% 8 of 9
Up 1–0, closes it77% 13 of 17
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeMinda3wins
AwayOlejnik4wins
1 of 7 to a deciderOlejnik leads 4–3, and 1 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMindan = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayOlejnik80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Minda2Olejnik5n = 7Olejnik took 5 of 7
S2Minda2Olejnik5n = 7Olejnik took 5 of 7
S3Minda3Olejnik4n = 7Olejnik took 4 of 7
S4Minda2Olejnik1n = 3Minda took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home114%
3–1Four sets, home114%
3–2Decider, home114%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away114%
0–3Straight, away343%
These 7 meetings
MetricMindaOlejnikM − OBasisWins34−1in 7 meetingsFirst set25−3of 7Avg pointsper match33.138.0−4.9per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMindaOlejnikBasisWin rate · lifetime1395 / 2747 vs 145 / 32550.8%44.6%1395 / 2747 vs 145 / 325Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.736.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MindaMinda 2.10/Olejnik 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.2%
Minda · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Olejnik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LFeb 15 · 08:45M. Minda—8260M. Olejnik—1111113
LDec 5 · 15:20M. Minda—3360M. Olejnik—1111113
WNov 14 · 14:30M. Minda—10101218113M. Olejnik—1212101692
WSep 20 · 07:10M. Minda—111512143M. Olejnik—71314121
LAug 6 · 10:35M. Minda—581161M. Olejnik—11115113
LAug 6 · 07:20M. Minda—11870M. Olejnik—1311113
WJul 18 · 03:25M. Minda—1113113M. Olejnik—41170
M. Minda10
WSep 9 · 14:20M. Minda1.351115113A. Szoltysek2.7591390WSep 9 · 12:40M. Zwolinski3.909101161M. Minda1.1911129113LSep 9 · 11:50A. Lilien2.00151113113M. Minda1.7013131171LSep 9 · 11:00M. Minda1.83991171P. Blocho1.8611117113WSep 9 · 09:50M. Minda1.50611116113J. Krawczyk2.3111431152LSep 9 · 08:30M. Minda1.85781191B. Czerwinski1.8511117113LSep 9 · 06:50M. Minda1.90911291D. Solilo1.8011911113WSep 9 · 05:35M. Minda1.8311611113P. Blocho1.86911951LSep 9 · 04:00M. Minda1.73711941B. Sulkowski1.9811911113LSep 9 · 03:00M. Minda1.71111171072R. Stapor2.00991112113
M. Olejnik10
LJun 14 · 14:00M. Olejnik1.737780K. Makowski2.001111113LJun 14 · 12:45M. Olejnik1.801146131A. Mugowski1.9171111153WJun 14 · 11:30M. Olejnik2.001211113A. Szoltysek1.7310770LJun 14 · 09:30M. Olejnik1.83811691W. Gronowski1.8311611113WJun 14 · 08:10F. Jablonski2.10114581M. Olejnik1.6671111113WJun 14 · 07:20K. Makowski1.9111780M. Olejnik1.801311113LJun 14 · 05:15D. Poloszczanski2.4881311113M. Olejnik1.461111891LJun 14 · 04:30A. Mugowski1.83111112113M. Olejnik1.866131091WJun 14 · 03:00K. Marchlewski1.839970M. Olejnik1.861111113WJun 13 · 14:40M. Olejnik2.01511124133K. Marchlewski1.691161011112
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