TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #12034177
Played Jun 14Finished
Mikolaj Olejnik
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
811116611911––
Wojciech Gronowski
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 4
How it is goingMikolaj Olejnik above · Wojciech Gronowski below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 73 set 4, 9-11
73 points played in total.
H2H Mikolaj Olejnik 5–1 Wojciech Gronowski Wojciech Gronowski has won 1 of their 6 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Gronowski)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gronowski form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOlejnik 1.83 / Gronowski 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Gronowski)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #12034177
Olejnik1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Gronowski1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeOlejnik5wins
AwayGronowski1wins
Olejnik leads 5–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeOlejnik100%5 of 5
AwayGronowskin = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Olejnik5Gronowski1n = 6Olejnik took 5 of 6
S2Olejnik4Gronowski2n = 6Olejnik took 4 of 6
S3Olejnik4Gronowski2n = 6Olejnik took 4 of 6
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home350%
3–1Four sets, home233%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away117%
These 6 meetings
MetricOlejnikGronowskiO − GBasisWins51+4in 6 meetingsFirst set51+4of 6Avg pointsper match34.027.5+6.5per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOlejnikGronowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime145 / 325 vs 468 / 106144.6%44.1%145 / 325 vs 468 / 1061Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.736.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GronowskiOlejnik 1.83/Gronowski 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Gronowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Gronowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WMar 1 · 10:55M. Olejnik—11811113W. Gronowski—911791
WDec 7 · 08:10M. Olejnik—1111113W. Gronowski—8780
WDec 5 · 12:00M. Olejnik—11119113W. Gronowski—471151
WNov 16 · 09:45M. Olejnik—1111113W. Gronowski—7880
LNov 15 · 15:25M. Olejnik—10840W. Gronowski—1211113
WNov 14 · 15:40M. Olejnik—1111113W. Gronowski—5890
M. Olejnik10
LJun 14 · 14:00M. Olejnik1.737780K. Makowski2.001111113LJun 14 · 12:45M. Olejnik1.801146131A. Mugowski1.9171111153WJun 14 · 11:30M. Olejnik2.001211113A. Szoltysek1.7310770WJun 14 · 10:20M. Minda2.101113117132M. Olejnik1.67515711153WJun 14 · 08:10F. Jablonski2.10114581M. Olejnik1.6671111113WJun 14 · 07:20K. Makowski1.9111780M. Olejnik1.801311113LJun 14 · 05:15D. Poloszczanski2.4881311113M. Olejnik1.461111891LJun 14 · 04:30A. Mugowski1.83111112113M. Olejnik1.866131091WJun 14 · 03:00K. Marchlewski1.839970M. Olejnik1.861111113WJun 13 · 14:40M. Olejnik2.01511124133K. Marchlewski1.691161011112
W. Gronowski10
LSep 5 · 07:40W. Gronowski2.0091111882J. Przewlocki1.71115911113LSep 5 · 06:25W. Gronowski2.38111011992M. Minda1.49712711113LSep 5 · 05:15W. Gronowski1.711131081D. Wrobel2.0071112113WSep 5 · 04:00K. Klocek1.857101131W. Gronowski1.8511127113WSep 5 · 03:20W. Gronowski1.9511118113J. Wozniak1.75761181LSep 4 · 14:20M. Minda1.5511711123W. Gronowski2.307117101LSep 4 · 13:30A. Lilien1.54111111113W. Gronowski2.25139971WSep 4 · 11:25A. Myszewski2.101091261W. Gronowski1.60121110113LSep 4 · 10:35M. Lukaszewski2.55811911113W. Gronowski1.4311911772WSep 4 · 09:00M. Misiak1.745890W. Gronowski1.951111113
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