TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #11953267
Played May 27Finished
Denys Kovtanyuk
Home
1.92
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1416116611911––
Mateusz Michta
Away
1.72
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
84 points played in total.
Set by set
1416116611911––
H2H Denys Kovtanyuk 0–1 Mateusz Michta Denys Kovtanyuk has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Michta)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kovtanyuk form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKovtanyuk 1.92 / Michta 1.72
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Michta)+1.3pp
TT Cup · #11953267
Kovtanyuk1.92
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog43% won 21 of 49
Down 0–1, comes back14% 3 of 21
Down 0–2, comes back15% 2 of 13
Michta1.72
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite64% won 9 of 14
Up 2–0, closes it100% 5 of 5
Up 1–0, closes it100% 8 of 8
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeKovtanyuk0wins
AwayMichta1wins
1 of 1 to a deciderMichta leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricKovtanyukMichtaK − MBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match36.047.0−11.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKovtanyukMichtaBasisWin rate · lifetime189 / 528 vs 255 / 47435.8%53.8%189 / 528 vs 255 / 474Avg sets wonper match1.72.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.038.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MichtaKovtanyuk 1.92/Michta 1.72
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Michta · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Michta won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LMay 20 · 17:30D. Kovtanyuk—2M. Michta—3
D. Kovtanyuk10
LJul 24 · 21:30K. Kowalewski—1111113D. Kovtanyuk—6660LJul 24 · 20:00K. Kowalewski1.11111011113D. Kovtanyuk5.05912981LJul 24 · 19:00D. Kovtanyuk3.25861161K. Guzy1.2611118113LJul 24 · 18:00D. Kovtanyuk2.05311101572A. Veliiev1.681191213113LJul 24 · 16:30D. Kovtanyuk2.5051111622P. Kos1.43114911113WJul 23 · 21:40D. Kovtanyuk6.2011811173K. Kowalewski1.078119151LJul 23 · 20:00K. Guzy1.121111113D. Kovtanyuk4.909990WJul 23 · 19:00D. Kovtanyuk1.8651111113P. Kos1.78116851LJul 23 · 18:00D. Kovtanyuk4.55119911102K. Kowalewski1.14911119123WJul 23 · 16:30D. Kovtanyuk2.49751311113B. Gola1.43111111582
M. Michta10
LJul 2 · 22:00P. Kos1.9512712113M. Michta1.7510111091WJul 2 · 21:00M. Michta2.041111133K. Zapala1.6468110LJul 2 · 19:00T. Stachera1.78148119113M. Michta1.86121191152LJul 2 · 17:00P. Kos1.881115113M. Michta1.7641350WJul 2 · 16:00B. Gola1.5591080M. Michta2.201112113LJul 2 · 15:30M. Michta2.371161171K. Guzy1.4813113113LMay 27 · 22:10K. Guzy—1211113M. Michta—10690LMay 27 · 19:30M. Michta1.9111118832T. Stachera1.73581111113LMay 27 · 17:30K. Zapala—111189113M. Michta—49111182LMay 27 · 15:00K. Guzy—91111113M. Michta—119671
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