TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12143400
Played Jul 2Finished
Pawel Kos
Home
1.88
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1141513115––––
Mateusz Michta
Away
1.76
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
59 points played in total.
Set by set
1141513115––––
H2H Pawel Kos 4–9 Mateusz Michta Pawel Kos has won 4 of their 13 meetings.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Michta)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Michta form (20%) is below what odds imply (57%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKos 1.88 / Michta 1.76
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Michta)+3.0pp
TT Cup · #12143400
Kos1.88
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog44% won 39 of 88
Down 0–1, comes back22% 10 of 46
Down 0–2, comes back8% 2 of 26
Michta1.76
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite64% won 9 of 14
Up 2–0, closes it100% 5 of 5
Up 1–0, closes it100% 9 of 9
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKos3wins
AwayMichta7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderMichta leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKos75%3 of 4
AwayMichta100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kos4Michta6n = 10Michta took 6 of 10
S2Kos7Michta3n = 10Kos took 7 of 10
S3Kos5Michta5n = 10split evenly
S4Kos3Michta4n = 7Michta took 4 of 7
S5Kos0Michta4n = 4Michta took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKosMichtaK − MBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match37.838.2−0.4per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKosMichtaBasisWin rate · lifetime464 / 1078 vs 256 / 47943%53.4%464 / 1078 vs 256 / 479Avg sets wonper match1.82.1per matchAvg pointsper match35.838.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MichtaKos 1.88/Michta 1.76
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.6%
Michta · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kos won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LMay 27 · 14:30P. Kos—710111392M. Michta—1112511113
WMay 5 · 22:30P. Kos—1111143M. Michta—87120
LMay 5 · 16:00P. Kos—51111682M. Michta—114511113
LMay 4 · 16:00P. Kos—5760M. Michta—1111113
LApr 20 · 22:30P. Kos—71171122M. Michta—111119113
WApr 20 · 14:00P. Kos—1211113M. Michta—10860
WMar 5 · 16:35P. Kos—11119113M. Michta—581191
LMar 2 · 21:00P. Kos—91011101M. Michta—11125123
LDec 1 · 22:00P. Kos—11117792M. Michta—971111113
LNov 4 · 21:30P. Kos—811961M. Michta—11811113
P. Kos10
LSep 6 · 14:45A. Duch2.0051111123P. Kos1.741168101LSep 6 · 12:35P. Kos1.9610101171M. Szymanski1.7012127113WSep 6 · 10:35K. Kowalewski1.33145831P. Kos3.10121111113LSep 6 · 09:35P. Kos2.506990A. Duch1.471111113WSep 6 · 08:35K. Zapala1.517670P. Kos2.401111113WSep 6 · 08:05P. Kos2.5041111113K. Guzy1.46118821WSep 3 · 22:10K. Zapala1.479480P. Kos2.501111113LSep 3 · 21:00P. Kos1.6611912672B. Gola2.107111011113LSep 3 · 19:00D. Bucko1.611111113P. Kos2.156380WSep 3 · 17:00K. Guzy1.4751511111P. Kos2.5011179133
M. Michta10
LJul 2 · 22:00P. Kos1.9512712113M. Michta1.7510111091WJul 2 · 21:00M. Michta2.041111133K. Zapala1.6468110LJul 2 · 19:00T. Stachera1.78148119113M. Michta1.86121191152WJul 2 · 16:00B. Gola1.5591080M. Michta2.201112113LJul 2 · 15:30M. Michta2.371161171K. Guzy1.4813113113LMay 27 · 22:10K. Guzy—1211113M. Michta—10690WMay 27 · 21:00D. Kovtanyuk1.921411691M. Michta1.7216611113LMay 27 · 19:30M. Michta1.9111118832T. Stachera1.73581111113LMay 27 · 17:30K. Zapala—111189113M. Michta—49111182LMay 27 · 15:00K. Guzy—91111113M. Michta—119671
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