TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12142153
Played Jul 2Finished
Mateusz Michta
Home
2.37
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1113611113711––
Karol Guzy
Away
1.48
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
73 points played in total.
Set by set
1113611113711––
H2H Mateusz Michta 3–6 Karol Guzy Mateusz Michta has won 3 of their 9 meetings.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Guzy)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Guzy form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (68%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMichta 2.37 / Guzy 1.48
Signal prob.35% / 65%
Edge (Guzy)+3.0pp
TT Cup · #12142153
Michta2.37
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog70% won 16 of 23
Guzy1.48
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite58% won 117 of 201
Up 2–0, closes it90% 51 of 57
Up 1–0, closes it81% 89 of 110
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeMichta3wins
AwayGuzy6wins
3 of 9 to a deciderGuzy leads 6–3, and 3 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMichta60%3 of 5
AwayGuzy100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Michta5Guzy4n = 9Michta took 5 of 9
S2Michta3Guzy6n = 9Guzy took 6 of 9
S3Michta3Guzy6n = 9Guzy took 6 of 9
S4Michta3Guzy4n = 7Guzy took 4 of 7
S5Michta1Guzy2n = 3Guzy took 2 of 3
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home222%
3–2Decider, home111%
2–3Decider, away222%
1–3Four sets, away222%
0–3Straight, away222%
These 9 meetings
MetricMichtaGuzyM − GBasisWins36−3in 9 meetingsFirst set54+1of 9Avg pointsper match37.439.2−1.8per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMichtaGuzyBasisWin rate · lifetime256 / 478 vs 916 / 156353.6%58.6%256 / 478 vs 916 / 1563Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.140.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GuzyMichta 2.37/Guzy 1.48
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.6%
Guzy · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Guzy won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LMay 27 · 22:10M. Michta—10690K. Guzy—1211113
LMay 27 · 15:00M. Michta—119671K. Guzy—91111113
LMay 5 · 18:30M. Michta—99111172K. Guzy—111125113
WMay 4 · 15:00M. Michta—11911113K. Guzy—911841
LApr 12 · 08:05M. Michta—911881K. Guzy—11811113
LMar 13 · 17:30M. Michta—111113472K. Guzy—581511113
WMar 5 · 21:45M. Michta—16117113K. Guzy—1461191
WMar 5 · 17:05M. Michta—117117113K. Guzy—61171162
LApr 21 · 15:00M. Michta—5740K. Guzy—1111113
M. Michta10
LJul 2 · 22:00P. Kos1.9512712113M. Michta1.7510111091WJul 2 · 21:00M. Michta2.041111133K. Zapala1.6468110LJul 2 · 19:00T. Stachera1.78148119113M. Michta1.86121191152LJul 2 · 17:00P. Kos1.881115113M. Michta1.7641350WJul 2 · 16:00B. Gola1.5591080M. Michta2.201112113LMay 27 · 22:10K. Guzy—1211113M. Michta—10690WMay 27 · 21:00D. Kovtanyuk1.921411691M. Michta1.7216611113LMay 27 · 19:30M. Michta1.9111118832T. Stachera1.73581111113LMay 27 · 17:30K. Zapala—111189113M. Michta—49111182LMay 27 · 15:00K. Guzy—91111113M. Michta—119671
K. Guzy10
WSep 6 · 14:15K. Guzy1.8891111113K. Kowalewski1.82118691LSep 6 · 13:05K. Guzy1.9813811562A. Duch1.751111711113WSep 6 · 11:05K. Zapala2.60781291K. Guzy1.44111110113WSep 6 · 09:05K. Kowalewski1.8751181182K. Guzy1.83117117113LSep 6 · 08:05P. Kos2.5041111113K. Guzy1.46118821WSep 6 · 07:35K. Guzy1.701011811113M. Szymanski2.0512911892LSep 5 · 23:35K. Guzy2.061176101A. Duch1.6341111123WSep 5 · 21:05D. Bucko1.83511941K. Guzy1.8811711113WMay 27 · 22:10K. Guzy—1211113M. Michta—10690WMay 27 · 15:00K. Guzy—91111113M. Michta—119671
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