TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #11952891
Played May 27Finished
Mateusz Michta
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
115118811811311
Tomasz Stachera
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
87 points played in total.
Set by set
115118811811311
H2H Mateusz Michta 13–10 Tomasz Stachera Tomasz Stachera has won 10 of their 23 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Michta)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stachera form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMichta 1.91 / Stachera 1.73
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Michta)+6.5pp
TT Cup · #11952891
Michta1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog65% won 17 of 26
Down 0–1, comes back29% 2 of 7
Down 0–2, comes back20% 1 of 5
Stachera1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMichta7wins
AwayStachera3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderMichta leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMichta83.3%5 of 6
AwayStachera50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Michta6Stachera4n = 10Michta took 6 of 10
S2Michta4Stachera6n = 10Stachera took 6 of 10
S3Michta7Stachera3n = 10Michta took 7 of 10
S4Michta5Stachera2n = 7Michta took 5 of 7
S5Michta2Stachera1n = 3Michta took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMichtaStacheraM − SBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.637.0+2.6per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMichtaStacheraBasisWin rate · lifetime255 / 474 vs 165 / 32353.8%51.1%255 / 474 vs 165 / 323Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.136.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MichtaMichta 1.91/Stachera 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Michta · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Stachera won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WMay 5 · 20:30M. Michta—3T. Stachera—0
WApr 20 · 20:00M. Michta—3T. Stachera—1
LMar 13 · 22:30M. Michta—0T. Stachera—3
WMar 13 · 18:30M. Michta—3T. Stachera—1
WDec 1 · 23:10M. Michta—3T. Stachera—2
LDec 1 · 20:00M. Michta—2T. Stachera—3
WNov 17 · 20:00M. Michta—3T. Stachera—2
LNov 3 · 21:00M. Michta—1T. Stachera—3
WOct 29 · 16:35M. Michta—3T. Stachera—0
WOct 27 · 16:05M. Michta—3T. Stachera—1
M. Michta10
LJul 2 · 22:00P. Kos1.9512712113M. Michta1.7510111091WJul 2 · 21:00M. Michta2.041111133K. Zapala1.6468110LJul 2 · 19:00T. Stachera1.78148119113M. Michta1.86121191152LJul 2 · 17:00P. Kos1.881115113M. Michta1.7641350WJul 2 · 16:00B. Gola1.5591080M. Michta2.201112113LJul 2 · 15:30M. Michta2.371161171K. Guzy1.4813113113LMay 27 · 22:10K. Guzy—1211113M. Michta—10690WMay 27 · 21:00D. Kovtanyuk1.921411691M. Michta1.7216611113LMay 27 · 17:30K. Zapala—111189113M. Michta—49111182LMay 27 · 15:00K. Guzy—91111113M. Michta—119671
T. Stachera10
WAug 28 · 21:40K. Guzy1.44117157132T. Stachera2.607111311153LAug 28 · 20:30P. Kos1.6611811113T. Stachera2.05811511LAug 28 · 19:30K. Guzy1.411191111123T. Stachera2.60611913102LAug 28 · 18:00D. Bucko1.461112133T. Stachera2.50710110LAug 28 · 15:30M. Szymanski1.505121115113T. Stachera2.40111081722LAug 28 · 14:00K. Kowalewski1.361111113T. Stachera2.956960LAug 21 · 22:10P. Kos3.40119811113T. Stachera1.2721111262LAug 21 · 20:30K. Zapala1.86115117113T. Stachera1.8391121192WAug 21 · 19:30D. Bucko1.62118111172T. Stachera2.06911913113WJul 2 · 19:00T. Stachera1.78148119113M. Michta1.86121191152
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