TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12146579
Played Jul 2Finished
Pawel Kos
Home
1.95
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
12107111210119––
Mateusz Michta
Away
1.75
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
82 points played in total.
Set by set
12107111210119––
H2H Pawel Kos 5–9 Mateusz Michta Pawel Kos has won 5 of their 14 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Michta)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Michta form (40%) is below what odds imply (57%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKos 1.95 / Michta 1.75
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Michta)+1.3pp
TT Cup · #12146579
Kos1.95
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog44% won 39 of 88
Down 0–1, comes back22% 10 of 46
Down 0–2, comes back8% 2 of 26
Michta1.75
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite64% won 9 of 14
Up 2–0, closes it100% 5 of 5
Up 1–0, closes it100% 9 of 9
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKos4wins
AwayMichta6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderMichta leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKos80%4 of 5
AwayMichta100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kos5Michta5n = 10split evenly
S2Kos7Michta3n = 10Kos took 7 of 10
S3Kos6Michta4n = 10Kos took 6 of 10
S4Kos3Michta3n = 6split evenly
S5Kos0Michta4n = 4Michta took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKosMichtaK − MBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.136.3+1.8per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKosMichtaBasisWin rate · lifetime465 / 1081 vs 258 / 48343%53.4%465 / 1081 vs 258 / 483Avg sets wonper match1.82.1per matchAvg pointsper match35.838.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MichtaKos 1.95/Michta 1.75
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Michta · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kos won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 2 · 17:00P. Kos—1115113M. Michta—41350
LMay 27 · 14:30P. Kos—710111392M. Michta—1112511113
WMay 5 · 22:30P. Kos—1111143M. Michta—87120
LMay 5 · 16:00P. Kos—51111682M. Michta—114511113
LMay 4 · 16:00P. Kos—5760M. Michta—1111113
LApr 20 · 22:30P. Kos—71171122M. Michta—111119113
WApr 20 · 14:00P. Kos—1211113M. Michta—10860
WMar 5 · 16:35P. Kos—11119113M. Michta—581191
LMar 2 · 21:00P. Kos—91011101M. Michta—11125123
LDec 1 · 22:00P. Kos—11117792M. Michta—971111113
P. Kos10
LSep 6 · 14:45A. Duch2.0051111123P. Kos1.741168101LSep 6 · 12:35P. Kos1.9610101171M. Szymanski1.7012127113WSep 6 · 10:35K. Kowalewski1.33145831P. Kos3.10121111113LSep 6 · 09:35P. Kos2.506990A. Duch1.471111113WSep 6 · 08:35K. Zapala1.517670P. Kos2.401111113WSep 6 · 08:05P. Kos2.5041111113K. Guzy1.46118821WSep 3 · 22:10K. Zapala1.479480P. Kos2.501111113LSep 3 · 21:00P. Kos1.6611912672B. Gola2.107111011113LSep 3 · 19:00D. Bucko1.611111113P. Kos2.156380WSep 3 · 17:00K. Guzy1.4751511111P. Kos2.5011179133
M. Michta10
WJul 2 · 21:00M. Michta2.041111133K. Zapala1.6468110LJul 2 · 19:00T. Stachera1.78148119113M. Michta1.86121191152LJul 2 · 17:00P. Kos1.881115113M. Michta1.7641350WJul 2 · 16:00B. Gola1.5591080M. Michta2.201112113LJul 2 · 15:30M. Michta2.371161171K. Guzy1.4813113113LMay 27 · 22:10K. Guzy—1211113M. Michta—10690WMay 27 · 21:00D. Kovtanyuk1.921411691M. Michta1.7216611113LMay 27 · 19:30M. Michta1.9111118832T. Stachera1.73581111113LMay 27 · 17:30K. Zapala—111189113M. Michta—49111182LMay 27 · 15:00K. Guzy—91111113M. Michta—119671
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