TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #12145121
Played Jul 2Finished
Mateusz Michta
Home
2.04
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1161181311––––
Krzysztof Zapala
Away
1.64
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
60 points played in total.
Set by set
1161181311––––
H2H Mateusz Michta 5–5 Krzysztof Zapala Dead even across their 10 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Zapala)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zapala form (20%) is below what odds imply (61%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMichta 2.04 / Zapala 1.64
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Zapala)-0.0pp
TT Cup · #12145121
Michta2.04
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog70% won 16 of 23
Zapala1.64
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite46% won 47 of 103
Up 2–0, closes it81% 26 of 32
Up 1–0, closes it75% 38 of 51
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMichta5wins
AwayZapala5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMichta83.3%5 of 6
AwayZapala100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Michta6Zapala4n = 10Michta took 6 of 10
S2Michta4Zapala6n = 10Zapala took 6 of 10
S3Michta7Zapala3n = 10Michta took 7 of 10
S4Michta2Zapala4n = 6Zapala took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMichtaZapalaM − ZBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.137.6+0.5per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMichtaZapalaBasisWin rate · lifetime258 / 484 vs 266 / 60153.3%44.3%258 / 484 vs 266 / 601Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.138.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZapalaMichta 2.04/Zapala 1.64
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.4%
Zapala · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Michta won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 2 · 21:00M. Michta—1111133K. Zapala—68110
LMay 27 · 17:30M. Michta—49111182K. Zapala—111189113
WApr 20 · 18:30M. Michta—11118133K. Zapala—2711111
WApr 12 · 08:35M. Michta—12131711113K. Zapala—1015151372
LMar 5 · 18:35M. Michta—99120K. Zapala—1111143
WMar 2 · 17:30M. Michta—1112153K. Zapala—610130
LNov 18 · 20:05M. Michta—671161K. Zapala—11118113
LNov 17 · 19:00M. Michta—991591K. Zapala—111113113
LNov 3 · 19:30M. Michta—113271K. Zapala—61111113
WOct 19 · 07:30M. Michta—1111113K. Zapala—8470
M. Michta10
LJul 2 · 22:00P. Kos1.9512712113M. Michta1.7510111091LJul 2 · 19:00T. Stachera1.78148119113M. Michta1.86121191152LJul 2 · 17:00P. Kos1.881115113M. Michta1.7641350WJul 2 · 16:00B. Gola1.5591080M. Michta2.201112113LJul 2 · 15:30M. Michta2.371161171K. Guzy1.4813113113LMay 27 · 22:10K. Guzy—1211113M. Michta—10690WMay 27 · 21:00D. Kovtanyuk1.921411691M. Michta1.7216611113LMay 27 · 19:30M. Michta1.9111118832T. Stachera1.73581111113LMay 27 · 17:30K. Zapala—111189113M. Michta—49111182LMay 27 · 15:00K. Guzy—91111113M. Michta—119671
K. Zapala10
LSep 6 · 13:55K. Zapala—11860M. Szymanski—1311113LSep 6 · 12:05K. Kowalewski1.3391313113K. Zapala2.8511111191LSep 6 · 11:05K. Zapala2.60781291K. Guzy1.44111110113WSep 6 · 10:05K. Zapala2.25141111163M. Szymanski1.5412138141LSep 6 · 08:35K. Zapala1.517670P. Kos2.401111113LSep 6 · 06:35K. Zapala2.251610281A. Duch1.54141211113LSep 5 · 23:05K. Zapala1.85154110D. Bucko1.851711133WSep 5 · 21:35K. Zapala2.6091111133K. Kowalewski1.441167111LSep 5 · 19:35D. Bucko1.801111113K. Zapala1.913950WMay 27 · 17:30K. Zapala—111189113M. Michta—49111182
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