TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #11913553
Played May 20Finished
Michal Olbrycht
Home
1.53
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
41111813151113––
Simon Belik
Away
2.38
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingMichal Olbrycht above · Simon Belik below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 13-15
Set 4 · 11-13
Point 86 set 4, 11-13
86 points played in total.
H2H Michal Olbrycht 1–0 Simon Belik Simon Belik has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Olbrycht)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Olbrycht form (20%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOlbrycht 1.53 / Belik 2.38
Signal prob.68% / 32%
Edge (Olbrycht)+7.0pp
TT Elite Series · #11913553
Olbrycht1.53
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite61% won 118 of 195
Up 2–0, closes it98% 53 of 54
Up 1–0, closes it81% 84 of 104
Belik2.38
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog14% won 14 of 102
Down 0–1, comes back5% 4 of 74
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 56
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeOlbrycht1wins
AwayBelik0wins
1 of 1 to a deciderOlbrycht leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricOlbrychtBelikO − BBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match45.043.0+2.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOlbrychtBelikBasisWin rate · lifetime440 / 1011 vs 105 / 40043.5%26.3%440 / 1011 vs 105 / 400Avg sets wonper match1.81.3per matchAvg pointsper match36.132.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OlbrychtOlbrycht 1.53/Belik 2.38
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
67.8%
Olbrycht · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Belik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WMay 20 · 05:00M. Olbrycht—3S. Belik—2
M. Olbrycht10
WSep 3 · 24:35M. Rutkowski1.83911861M. Olbrycht1.8311711113LSep 2 · 22:55J. Kuzmicz1.3612119113M. Olbrycht3.001091131WSep 2 · 22:10L. Pietraszko2.108330M. Olbrycht1.671111113WSep 2 · 21:25J. Chmielowski2.20118871M. Olbrycht1.6171111113WSep 2 · 20:05M. Olbrycht1.83611116113K. Kapik1.8311981182LSep 2 · 18:30A. Spychala1.73119411113M. Olbrycht2.0031111772LSep 2 · 17:40L. Pietraszko2.001211113M. Olbrycht1.7310660LSep 2 · 16:55M. Olbrycht1.73912111162J. Chmielowski2.00111498113WSep 2 · 15:45M. Olbrycht1.7391211113J. Witkowski2.001110471LSep 2 · 24:10M. Olbrycht2.00128781M. Rutkowski1.73101111113
S. Belik10
LAug 29 · 17:30S. Belik—611771A. Khanin—11511113LAug 29 · 16:45S. Belik—7550A. Abbasi—1111113LAug 28 · 17:20P. Zatowka—11118123S. Belik—7911101LMay 20 · 14:00D. Kostal1.44111110113S. Belik2.63841281LMay 20 · 12:20S. Belik2.75713100A. Daniel1.401115123WMay 20 · 10:40S. Belik3.2531111113M. Nowalinski1.33114871LMay 20 · 09:55S. Sporek1.3611114113S. Belik3.00771151LMay 20 · 08:45D. Kostal1.571111113S. Belik2.257590LMay 20 · 07:35S. Belik3.2531070K. Wloczko1.331112113WMay 20 · 06:10K. Wisniewski1.83116271S. Belik1.8381111113
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