TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #11913722
Played May 20Finished
Szymon Sporek
Home
1.36
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
117117411115––
Simon Belik
Away
3.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingSzymon Sporek above · Simon Belik below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 67 set 4, 11-5
67 points played in total.
H2H Szymon Sporek 2–0 Simon Belik Simon Belik has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
Signal confidence: 76% — Strong (leans Sporek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sporek form (40%) is below what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSporek 1.36 / Belik 3.00
Signal prob.76% / 24%
Edge (Sporek)+7.0pp
TT Elite Series · #11913722
Sporek1.36
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite58% won 127 of 218
Up 2–0, closes it99% 67 of 68
Up 1–0, closes it83% 112 of 135
Belik3.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog14% won 14 of 102
Down 0–1, comes back5% 4 of 74
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 56
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeSporek2wins
AwayBelik0wins
1 of 2 to a deciderSporek leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricSporekBelikS − BBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match39.534.0+5.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSporekBelikBasisWin rate · lifetime617 / 1240 vs 104 / 39849.8%26.1%617 / 1240 vs 104 / 398Avg sets wonper match2.01.3per matchAvg pointsper match38.332.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SporekSporek 1.36/Belik 3.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
75.8%
Sporek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Sporek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WMay 19 · 19:00S. Sporek—3S. Belik—0
WAug 1 · 16:20S. Sporek—3S. Belik—2
S. Sporek10
LSep 6 · 14:10S. Sporek1.8011911181M. Domin1.9171113203LSep 6 · 12:30G. Adamiak1.831111715113S. Sporek1.8387111752WSep 6 · 11:40S. Kolasa1.40121211592S. Sporek2.751014611113WSep 6 · 10:50S. Sporek2.75811711113J. Braun1.4011911562WSep 6 · 09:40S. Sporek1.9111111110113M. Nowalinski1.8079131282LSep 6 · 08:30S. Sporek1.9141111672M. Nowalinski1.80116711113LSep 6 · 06:55S. Sporek2.7591190S. Kolasa1.401113113WSep 6 · 05:40S. Sporek2.751711102113J. Braun1.40157121192LSep 6 · 04:10S. Sporek2.101178101M. Domin1.6781111123WSep 6 · 03:00S. Sporek1.5711116133G. Poliniewicz2.259611111
S. Belik10
LAug 29 · 17:30S. Belik—611771A. Khanin—11511113LAug 29 · 16:45S. Belik—7550A. Abbasi—1111113LAug 28 · 17:20P. Zatowka—11118123S. Belik—7911101LMay 20 · 14:00D. Kostal1.44111110113S. Belik2.63841281WMay 20 · 13:10M. Olbrycht1.5341113111S. Belik2.3811815133LMay 20 · 12:20S. Belik2.75713100A. Daniel1.401115123WMay 20 · 10:40S. Belik3.2531111113M. Nowalinski1.33114871LMay 20 · 08:45D. Kostal1.571111113S. Belik2.257590LMay 20 · 07:35S. Belik3.2531070K. Wloczko1.331112113WMay 20 · 06:10K. Wisniewski1.83116271S. Belik1.8381111113
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