TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #11913564
Played May 20Finished
Simon Belik
Home
2.75
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
71113151012––––
Artur Daniel
Away
1.40
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingSimon Belik above · Artur Daniel below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 13-15
Set 3 · 10-12
Point 68 set 3, 10-12
68 points played in total.
H2H Simon Belik 2–8 Artur Daniel Simon Belik has won 2 of their 10 meetings.
Signal confidence: 82% — Strong (leans Daniel)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Daniel form (60%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBelik 2.75 / Daniel 1.40
Signal prob.18% / 82%
Edge (Daniel)+15.8pp
TT Elite Series · #11913564
Belik2.75
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog14% won 14 of 102
Down 0–1, comes back5% 4 of 74
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 56
Daniel1.40
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite65% won 295 of 451
Up 2–0, closes it97% 146 of 150
Up 1–0, closes it85% 240 of 284
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBelik2wins
AwayDaniel8wins
2 of 10 to a deciderDaniel leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBelik66.7%2 of 3
AwayDaniel100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Belik3Daniel7n = 10Daniel took 7 of 10
S2Belik3Daniel7n = 10Daniel took 7 of 10
S3Belik2Daniel8n = 10Daniel took 8 of 10
S4Belik2Daniel3n = 5Daniel took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricBelikDanielB − DBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match30.437.0−6.6per matchSweeps14−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBelikDanielBasisWin rate · lifetime105 / 400 vs 1107 / 203526.3%54.4%105 / 400 vs 1107 / 2035Avg sets wonper match1.32.1per matchAvg pointsper match32.536.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DanielBelik 2.75/Daniel 1.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
82.1%
Daniel · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Daniel won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJan 16 · 16:55S. Belik—0A. Daniel—3
LJan 16 · 15:50S. Belik—0A. Daniel—3
WDec 4 · 20:45S. Belik—3A. Daniel—0
LSep 13 · 11:10S. Belik—2A. Daniel—3
LSep 13 · 06:40S. Belik—0A. Daniel—3
LAug 28 · 16:40S. Belik—1A. Daniel—3
LAug 28 · 11:55S. Belik—1A. Daniel—3
WAug 15 · 11:05S. Belik—3A. Daniel—2
LAug 1 · 09:30S. Belik—0A. Daniel—3
LAug 1 · 08:45S. Belik—1A. Daniel—3
S. Belik10
LAug 29 · 17:30S. Belik—611771A. Khanin—11511113LAug 29 · 16:45S. Belik—7550A. Abbasi—1111113LAug 28 · 17:20P. Zatowka—11118123S. Belik—7911101LMay 20 · 14:00D. Kostal1.44111110113S. Belik2.63841281WMay 20 · 13:10M. Olbrycht1.5341113111S. Belik2.3811815133WMay 20 · 10:40S. Belik3.2531111113M. Nowalinski1.33114871LMay 20 · 09:55S. Sporek1.3611114113S. Belik3.00771151LMay 20 · 08:45D. Kostal1.571111113S. Belik2.257590LMay 20 · 07:35S. Belik3.2531070K. Wloczko1.331112113WMay 20 · 06:10K. Wisniewski1.83116271S. Belik1.8381111113
A. Daniel10
WSep 4 · 21:00A. Daniel2.10581211113K. Kolodziej1.67111110592LSep 4 · 19:40A. Daniel1.3311114992T. Filbrandt3.25651111113LSep 4 · 18:30A. Daniel1.30123561M. Kolek3.40101111113WSep 4 · 17:20P. Jendrzejewski2.0071141182A. Daniel1.73119119113WSep 4 · 16:30A. Daniel1.501271113113M. Rutkowski2.50141141192WSep 4 · 14:35A. Daniel3.0011611113S. Dosz1.33411681WSep 4 · 13:00A. Daniel1.3511711113G. Poliniewicz2.85611591WSep 4 · 11:45A. Daniel1.80711911113K. Wloczko1.9011911682LSep 4 · 10:05A. Daniel1.3711911982J. Zochniak2.75611911113LSep 4 · 09:00A. Daniel1.42114711112K. Wisniewski2.60311119133
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